Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 17

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Pombal (Pombal)


	Pombal		Sertanense

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.1	3.7
	1.89	3.25	3.85
	1.93	3.29	3.78
	1.95	3.29	3.8
	1.89	3.25	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.58)	3.24 ↓ (3.54)	3.8 ↓ (5.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pombal
47.8%

Draw
28.2%

Sertanense
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

25.6%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

24.5%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pombal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pombal's form might have worsened.

Sertanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sertanense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pombal than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pombal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sertanense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pombal - Sertanense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 0 - 1, ⚽,
60', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Clube de Pombal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
26.01.25	Mortágua - Pombal	1:3 ✺
19.01.25	Pombal - União de Coimbra	3:2 ✺
12.01.25	Arronches Benfica - Pombal	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
07.01.25	Sousa - Pombal	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
05.01.25	Marinhense - Pombal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWTLL
- Sertanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
26.01.25	Sertanense - União de Coimbra	0:2 ✺
19.01.25	Marinhense - Sertanense	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Sertanense - Peniche	1:1 ✺
05.01.25	Sertanense - SB Castelo Branco	0:0 ✺
15.12.24	Alcains - Sertanense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
15.09.24	Sertanense - Pombal	3:1

Pombal - Sertanense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide