Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Pompei		Nardo

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.05	2.42
	2.77	3.18	2.40	Watch
	2.69	3.05	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.78)	3.09 ↓ (3.15)	2.41 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pompei
33.3%

Draw
29.2%

Nardo
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

28.5%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

29.2%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pompei has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Nardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pompei than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nardo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Pompei - Nardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Mendoza A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
90', 2 - 0, Celli A. ⚽,
90+17', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+17', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+17', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Pompei is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nardo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Nardo - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.1%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Pompei
Italian Serie D - Group H
16.11.25	Città di Fasano - Pompei	2:3 ✺
09.11.25	Pompei - Nola	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Real Normanna - Pompei	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Pompei - Gravina	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Martina Calcio - Pompei	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLLL
- ACD Nardo
Italian Serie D - Group H
16.11.25	Nardo - Virtus Francavilla	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	Francavilla - Nardo	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Nardo - Acerrana	4:0 ✺
26.10.25	Fidelis Andria - Nardo	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Heraclea - Nardo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTWTL

Pompei - Nardo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide