Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 8 - ROUND 21

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)


	Ponferradina B		Atlético Tordesillas

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.3	1.52
	6.43	3.42	1.51
	7.23	3.66	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.72 ↑ (6)	3.46 ↓ (4)	1.5 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina B
13.5%

Draw
26.1%

Atlético Tordesillas
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

22.6%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

22.3%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Atlético Tordesillas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina B than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tordesillas than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).

Ponferradina B has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Atlético Tordesillas is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Atlético Tordesillas is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ponferradina B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ponferradina B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
11.02.24	Atlético Palencia - Ponferradina B	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Ponferradina B - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Leonesa B - Ponferradina B	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	Ponferradina B - Salamanca	1:5 ✺
07.01.24	Villaralbo - Ponferradina B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLLL
- Atlético Tordesillas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
11.02.24	Atlético Tordesillas - Colegios Diocesanos	2:2 ✺
03.02.24	Atlético Astorga - Atlético Tordesillas	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Atlético Tordesillas - Palencia CA	1:0 ✺
20.01.24	Atlético Palencia - Atlético Tordesillas	1:2 ✺
14.01.24	Atlético Tordesillas - Burgos Promesas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
01.10.23	Atlético Tordesillas - Ponferradina B	2:0
18.03.23	Atlético Tordesillas - Ponferradina B	1:0
20.11.22	Ponferradina B - Atlético Tordesillas	0:1

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