Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 8 - ROUND 16

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)


	Ponferradina B		Salamanca

	1	X	2
	7.25	4	1.38
	7.46	3.97	1.39
	7.46	3.97	1.39
	8.05	4.2	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.56 ↓ (9.55)	4.04 ↓ (4.33)	1.38 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina B
12%

Draw
22.5%

Salamanca
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.5%

20.9%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.2%

20.2%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina B than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salamanca than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salamanca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Ponferradina B is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Salamanca is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Salamanca is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ponferradina B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ponferradina B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
07.01.24	Villaralbo - Ponferradina B	3:1 ✺
16.12.23	Ponferradina B - Real Ávila	0:1 ✺
02.12.23	Bembibre - Ponferradina B	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Ponferradina B - Laguna de Tenerife	2:3 ✺
19.11.23	Becerril - Ponferradina B	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLTLT
- Salamanca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
07.01.24	Salamanca - Colegios Diocesanos	6:0 ✺
16.12.23	Atlético Astorga - Salamanca	3:2 ✺
03.12.23	Salamanca - Atlético Tordesillas	0:0 ✺
26.11.23	Atlético Palencia - Salamanca	1:1 ✺
19.11.23	Salamanca - Burgos Promesas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
08.04.23	Ponferradina B - Salamanca	0:2
11.12.22	Salamanca - Ponferradina B	0:1

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