Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PAULISTA A2 - ROUND 11

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Moisés Lucarelli (Campinas)


	Ponte Preta		Portuguesa Santista

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.25	4.2
	1.85	3.15	3.85
	1.71	3.55	4.59
	1.79	3.32	4.65	Watch
	1.84	3.3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.82)	3.31 ↑ (3.27)	4.26 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta
50.8%

Draw
27.6%

Portuguesa Santista
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

27.7%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

28.3%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Portuguesa Santista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa Santista than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Ponte Preta - Portuguesa Santista Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Ponte Preta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ponte Preta is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
14.02.23	Linense - Ponte Preta	0:2 ✺
11.02.23	Ponte Preta - Osasco Sporting	2:1 ✺
08.02.23	Rio Claro - Ponte Preta	1:3 ✺
05.02.23	Ponte Preta - CA Juventus	2:2 ✺
01.02.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ponte Preta	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWTL
- Portuguesa Santista
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
15.02.23	Portuguesa Santista - EC Primavera	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Portuguesa Santista - Atlético Monte Azul	4:2 ✺
08.02.23	Taubaté - Portuguesa Santista	2:1 ✺
04.02.23	EC Lemense - Portuguesa Santista	0:2 ✺
01.02.23	Portuguesa Santista - Velo Clube	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWW

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