Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista U20 - Second stage - Round 12

Date: 28 June 2024, Friday


	Ponte Preta U20		Portuguesa Santista U20

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.73	4.3
	1.57	4.1	4.83
	1.6	3.94	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 (1.59)	3.92 ↑ (3.75)	4.58 ↓ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta U20
57%

Draw
23.2%

Portuguesa Santista U20
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

24.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

22.2%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ponte Preta U20 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Portuguesa Santista U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta U20 than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponte Preta U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa Santista U20 than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Ponte Preta U20 - Portuguesa Santista U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, ⚽,
62', 3 - 0, ⚽,
69', 4 - 0, ⚽,
88', 5 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Ponte Preta U20 in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Portuguesa Santista U20 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Portuguesa Santista U20 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ponte Preta U20 is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ponte Preta U20 to win the game is with odds 1.6.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ponte Preta U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
21.06.24	Ferroviaria U20 - Ponte Preta U20	1:1 ✺
31.05.24	Ponte Preta U20 - Itapirense U20	3:1 ✺
24.05.24	Guaçuano U20 - Ponte Preta U20	1:2 ✺
17.05.24	Ponte Preta U20 - Brasilis U20	2:1 ✺
10.05.24	Porto Football Ltda U20 - Ponte Preta U20	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWWWW
- Portuguesa Santista U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
22.06.24	Portuguesa Santista U20 - Palmeiras U20	1:3 ✺
14.06.24	Mauá U20 - Portuguesa Santista U20	0:1 ✺
01.06.24	Santos U20 - Portuguesa Santista U20	9:0 ✺
24.05.24	Portuguesa Santista U20 - Mauaense U20	6:1 ✺
17.05.24	Santo Andre U20 - Portuguesa Santista U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLWL

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