Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 15

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Ponte Preta U20		Itapirense U20

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.70	4.10
	1.63	3.75	4.20
	1.9	3.38	3.45
	1.69	3.76	4.24	Watch
	1.88	3.15	3.55
	1.77	3.74	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.63)	3.58 ↓ (3.75)	3.93 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta U20
51.7%

Draw
25.3%

Itapirense U20
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

23.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

21.9%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Itapirense U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta U20 than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itapirense U20 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Ponte Preta U20 - Itapirense U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, ⚽,
57', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 11)

Ponte Preta U20 is Qualified for Paulista U20 (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Ponte Preta U20 is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Ponte Preta U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ponte Preta U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
04.09.26	Mirassol U20 - Ponte Preta U20	2:3 ✺
21.08.26	Ponte Preta U20 - Sertãozinho U20	1:3 ✺
14.08.26	CA Juventus U20 - Ponte Preta U20	5:0 ✺
07.08.26	Ponte Preta U20 - Jabaquara U20	1:4 ✺
31.07.26	Portuguesa SP U20 - Ponte Preta U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLLT
- SE Itapirense U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
04.09.26	Itapirense U20 - CA Juventus U20	0:5 ✺
21.08.26	União Suzano U20 - Itapirense U20	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Itapirense U20 - Santos U20	0:1 ✺
07.08.26	Mirassol U20 - Itapirense U20	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	Itapirense U20 - São Bento U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
06.08.25	Itapirense U20 - Ponte Preta U20	1:0
31.05.24	Ponte Preta U20 - Itapirense U20	3:1
26.04.24	Itapirense U20 - Ponte Preta U20	1:3

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