Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 13

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday


	Ponte Preta U20		Sertãozinho U20

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.20	2.55
	1.73	3.45	4.00
	2.89	3.43	2.18
	2.39	3.46	2.59	Watch
	2.85	3.25	2.12
	2.88	3.14	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (1.73)	3.32 ↓ (3.45)	2.64 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta U20
36.8%

Draw
28%

Sertãozinho U20
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

25.9%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

26.3%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ponte Preta U20's form might have worsened.

Sertãozinho U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sertãozinho U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta U20 than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponte Preta U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertãozinho U20 than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sertãozinho U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ponte Preta U20 - Sertãozinho U20 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sertãozinho U20 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 0 - 2, ⚽,
56', 0 - 3, ⚽,
85', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Ponte Preta U20 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sertãozinho U20 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ponte Preta U20 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ponte Preta U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
14.08.26	CA Juventus U20 - Ponte Preta U20	5:0 ✺
07.08.26	Ponte Preta U20 - Jabaquara U20	1:4 ✺
31.07.26	Portuguesa SP U20 - Ponte Preta U20	1:1 ✺
24.07.26	Ponte Preta U20 - União Suzano U20	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Corinthians U20 - Ponte Preta U20	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTWL
- Sertãozinho U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
15.08.26	Sertãozinho U20 - Mirassol U20	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Portuguesa Santista U20 - Sertãozinho U20	1:0 ✺
31.07.26	Jabaquara U20 - Sertãozinho U20	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Sertãozinho U20 - America SP U20	2:0 ✺
16.07.26	CA Juventus U20 - Sertãozinho U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLWT

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