Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 9

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday


	Ponte Preta U20		Velo Clube U20

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.1
				Watch
	2	3.52	3.18
	2.25	2.92	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.92)	3.31 ↓ (3.65)	3.1 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta U20
43.7%

Draw
27.2%

Velo Clube U20
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

24.7%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

26.2%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Velo Clube U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta U20 than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponte Preta U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Velo Clube U20 than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Ponte Preta U20 - Velo Clube U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
65', 3 - 0, ⚽,
74', 4 - 0, ⚽,
81', 4 - 1, ⚽,
86', 4 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 5 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Ponte Preta U20 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Velo Clube U20 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ponte Preta U20 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ponte Preta U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
20.06.25	São Caetano U20 - Ponte Preta U20	1:3 ✺
07.06.25	Ponte Preta U20 - Internacional de Limeira U20	3:1 ✺
31.05.25	Ponte Preta U20 - Mirassol U20	2:0 ✺
24.05.25	Ferroviaria U20 - Ponte Preta U20	2:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20 B
21.05.25	Vitória U20 - Ponte Preta U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLL
- Velo Clube U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
20.06.25	Velo Clube U20 - Grêmio Osasco Audax U20	2:2 ✺
06.06.25	Taubaté U20 - Velo Clube U20	1:1 ✺
30.05.25	Velo Clube U20 - CA Juventus U20	2:1 ✺
23.05.25	São José-SP U20 - Velo Clube U20	2:4 ✺
16.05.25	Velo Clube U20 - Sfera U20	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTWWT

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