Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 7

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Ettore Mannucci (Pontedera)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Pontedera		Forlì

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.88	3.1	2.38
	2.96	3.25	2.38
	1.17	5.34	25.00	Watch
	2.86	3.06	2.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.53)	3.69 ↑ (3.27)	8.03 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontedera
50.6%

Draw
33.9%

Forlì
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

27.8%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

28.5%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontedera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pontedera's performance.

Forlì has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Forlì might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pontedera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (+19.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Forlì could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pontedera - Forlì Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Biagini V. (G) 21. Perretta G. 3. Vona E. 19. Pretato M. 18. Paolieri L. 14. Manfredonia M. 10. Ladinetti R. 17. Vitali P. 13. Scaccabarozzi J. 11. Ianesi S. 33. Battimelli G.	22. Martelli L. (G) 27. Manetti G. 32. Pellizzari S. 25. Elia M. 19. Ercolani F. 23. De Risio C. 3. Menarini F. 21. Scorza C. 10. Macri D. 9. Manuzzi F. 11. Farinelli N.
Substitutes
29. Andolfi T. 24. Bassanini R. 32. Beghetto L. 27. Coviello A. 8. Faggi F. 6. Gueye O. 4. Milazzo S. 20. Pietrelli R. 16. Polizzi M. 30. Strada N. (G) 26. Tempre M. 1. Vannucchi T. (G)	1. Calvani S. (G) 24. Cavallini G. 6. Franzolini A. 18. Giovannini A. 29. Graziani G. 2. Mandrelli N. 7. Petrelli E. 8. Ripani D. 33. Saporetti S. 16. Valentini F. 12. Veliaj G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Ianesi S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Farinelli N. ↓, Coveri V. ↑,
56', Ianesi S. ↓, Polizzi M. ↑,
57', Battimelli G. ↓, Andolfi T. ↑,
57', Manuzzi F. ↓, Petrelli E. ↑,
57', Scorza C. ↓, Franzolini A. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Vona E. ⚽,
63', De Risio C. ↓, Ripani D. ↑,
73', Vitali P. 🟨,
74', Andolfi T. 🟨,
76', Manetti G. ↓, Saporetti S. ↑,
76', Ercolani F. 🟨,
83', Scaccabarozzi J. ↓, Faggi F. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Franzolini A. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Recent form of Pontedera has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Forlì has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pontedera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Pontedera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B
23.09.25	Ternana - Pontedera	2:1 ✺
19.09.25	Pontedera - Campobasso	0:4 ✺
13.09.25	Pontedera - Rimini	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Pineto - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Pontedera - Arezzo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWTL
- Forli FC
Italian Serie C Group B
23.09.25	Forlì - Vis Pesaro	3:1 ✺
19.09.25	Rimini - Forlì	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Forlì - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Sambenedettese - Forlì	1:2 ✺
01.09.25	Forlì - Ravenna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
12.04.15	Forlì - Pontedera	2:1
29.11.14	Pontedera - Forlì	2:1

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