Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 6

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Arena


	Ternana		Pontedera

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	4.05	6.7
	1.44	4.09	7.8
	1.51	3.77	6.74	Watch
	1.5	3.94	6.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.37)	3.96 ↓ (4.2)	7 ↓ (8.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
63.2%

Draw
23.5%

Pontedera
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

21.9%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

20.8%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Pontedera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ternana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Ternana - Pontedera Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Pontedera will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. D'Alterio F. (G) 20. Donati F. 19. Capuano M. 87. Martella B. 7. Romeo F. 4. Vallocchia A. 5. Tripi F. 16. Garetto M. 30. Orellana M. 70. Durmush M. 9. Dubickas E.	22. Biagini V. (G) 21. Perretta G. 5. Corradini F. 19. Pretato M. 26. Tempre M. 14. Manfredonia M. 10. Ladinetti R. 17. Vitali P. 13. Scaccabarozzi J. 24. Bassanini R. 25. Nabian H.
Substitutes
2. Bianay Balcot C. 36. Biondini G. 11. Brignola E. 10. Leonardi S. 29. Longoni M. 13. Maestrelli A. 8. McJannet E. 12. Morlupo A. (G) 43. Ndrecka A. 80. Proietti M. 33. Valenti M. 1. Vitali T. (G)	29. Andolfi T. 33. Battimelli G. 32. Beghetto L. 27. Coviello A. 8. Faggi F. 11. Ianesi S. 4. Milazzo S. 18. Paolieri L. 20. Pietrelli R. 16. Polizzi M. 30. Strada N. (G) 1. Vannucchi T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Ladinetti R. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Dubickas E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Capuano M. ↓, Maestrelli A. ↑,
57', Tempre M. ↓, Paolieri L. ↑,
62', Orellana M. ↓, Brignola E. ↑,
63', Durmush M. ↓, Ndrecka A. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Scaccabarozzi J. ⚽,
70', Vallocchia A. ↓, Leonardi S. ↑,
75', Ladinetti R. ↓, Faggi F. ↑,
75', Scaccabarozzi J. ↓, Pietrelli R. ↑,
75', Bassanini R. ↓, Ianesi S. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Paolieri L. (Own goal),
87', Martella B. ↓, Bianay Balcot C. ↑,
88', Manfredonia M. ↓, Battimelli G. ↑,
90+3', Battimelli G. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Ternana has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pontedera has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ternana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ternana is the clear favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ternana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
20.09.25	Sassari Torres - Ternana	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Ternana - Carpi	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Rimini - Ternana	1:4 ✺
31.08.25	Ternana - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
22.08.25	Livorno - Ternana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWWLL
- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B
19.09.25	Pontedera - Campobasso	0:4 ✺
13.09.25	Pontedera - Rimini	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Pineto - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Pontedera - Arezzo	0:3 ✺
23.08.25	Sassari Torres - Pontedera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
06.01.25	Ternana - Pontedera	0:0
30.08.24	Pontedera - Ternana	1:2
Club Friendly
22.07.22	Pontedera - Ternana	0:3
Coppa Italia
29.07.18	Ternana - Pontedera	2:1 penalties

Ternana - Pontedera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide