Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 9

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Evesham United		Chippenham Town

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.40	2.55
	2.25	3.25	2.60
	2.36	3.55	2.71
	2.41	3.51	2.71	Watch
	2.30	3.30	2.65
	2.35	3.91	2.70
	2.35	3.35	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.37)	3.47 ↓ (3.6)	2.65 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Evesham United
39.3%

Draw
26.3%

Chippenham Town
34.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.4%

25.3%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

25.9%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Chippenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

The ML Model estimate for Evesham United aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Evesham United - Chippenham Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Churchley K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 2 - 0, Liggett B. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 13th and 18th).

Recent results have been tough for Evesham (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Chippenham shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Evesham could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Chippenham has had a run of games away from home.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Evesham	13	4	1	8	15:26	-11	13
22	Chippenham	12	2	3	7	11:25	-14	9

Last Results with these Odds

Chippenham Town - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.37%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evesham United
English FA Cup
19.09.26	Redditch United - Evesham United	3:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
12.09.26	Evesham United - Berkhamsted	0:0 ✺
31.08.26	Gloucester City - Evesham United	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Evesham United - Plymouth Parkway	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Hanworth Villa - Evesham United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTWLL
- Chippenham Town
English FA Cup
22.09.26	Chippenham Town - Yate Town	2:1 AET ✺
18.09.26	Yate Town - Chippenham Town	0:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
12.09.26	Bath City - Chippenham Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
08.09.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Chippenham Town	1:3 ✺
English Southern League South Division
31.08.26	Malvern Town - Chippenham Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTLWW

Evesham United - Chippenham Town