Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 29

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday


	Poole Town		Frome Town

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3
	1.98	3.55	3.2
	2.06	3.54	3.26
	2.06	3.59	3.33
	2.01	3.5	3.5
	1.98	3.55	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.75)	3.54 ↓ (3.64)	3.25 ↓ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poole Town
45.8%

Draw
26%

Frome Town
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

25.1%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

24.4%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poole Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Poole Town's form might have worsened.

Frome Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Frome Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Poole Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frome Town than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Frome Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Poole Town - Frome Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 0 - 1, Hopkins A. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Poole won 3.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Poole could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Frome have a series of guest games.

In this match Poole is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Poole won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 35:12 (average 2.7:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Poole won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 24:4 (average 4:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
25.01.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Poole Town	2:1 ✺
18.01.25	Poole Town - Basingstoke Town	1:0 ✺
14.01.25	Chertsey Town - Poole Town	2:1 ✺
04.01.25	Poole Town - Bracknell Town	0:0 ✺
28.12.24	Totton - Poole Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWLTT
- Frome Town
English Southern League South Division
25.01.25	Frome Town - Gloucester City	0:0 ✺
21.01.25	Totton - Frome Town	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Winchester City - Frome Town	1:3 ✺
28.12.24	Bracknell Town - Frome Town	4:1 ✺
26.12.24	Frome Town - Plymouth Parkway	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
19.10.24	Frome Town - Poole Town	2:3
English FA Trophy
30.10.21	Frome Town - Poole Town	3:2
English Southern League South Division
16.02.19	Poole Town - Frome Town	3:0
01.12.18	Frome Town - Poole Town	1:1
English FA Trophy
27.10.18	Poole Town - Frome Town	2:1
English Southern Premier League
26.12.15	Frome Town - Poole Town	0:0
31.08.15	Poole Town - Frome Town	5:0

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