Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 28

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday


	Frome Town		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	3	3.7	1.93
	3.21	4.1	1.93
	3.33	3.92	1.96
	3.34	3.52	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.89)	3.81 ↑ (3.59)	1.94 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frome Town
28.5%

Draw
24.1%

Gloucester City
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

25.5%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

25.7%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frome Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frome Town than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Frome Town - Gloucester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Frome could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gloucester will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Frome won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frome Town
English Southern League South Division
21.01.25	Totton - Frome Town	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Winchester City - Frome Town	1:3 ✺
28.12.24	Bracknell Town - Frome Town	4:1 ✺
26.12.24	Frome Town - Plymouth Parkway	5:0 ✺
14.12.24	Frome Town - Swindon Supermarine	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.8 TWLWW
- Gloucester City
English Southern League South Division
18.01.25	Gloucester City - Sholing	2:1 ✺
04.01.25	Gloucester City - Taunton Town	2:2 ✺
01.01.25	Merthyr Town - Gloucester City	2:2 ✺
28.12.24	Wimborne Town - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
26.12.24	Gloucester City - Swindon Supermarine	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
15.10.24	Gloucester City - Frome Town	2:0

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