Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 27

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday


	Winchester City		Frome Town

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.7	3.25
	1.83	3.9	3.35
	1.9	4.03	3.45
	1.9	3.6	3.4
	1.83	3.9	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.81)	3.83 ↑ (3.75)	3.36 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Winchester City
49%

Draw
23.8%

Frome Town
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

24.3%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

24.5%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Winchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Frome Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winchester City than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frome Town than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Winchester City - Frome Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, Hill I. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Manning R. ⚽,
15', 1 - 2, Drew Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 1 - 3, O'Loughlin J. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Frome could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Winchester is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Winchester won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Winchester City
English Southern League South Division
11.01.25	Basingstoke Town - Winchester City	2:0 ✺
04.01.25	Winchester City - Marlow	3:1 ✺
01.01.25	Dorchester Town - Winchester City	1:0 ✺
28.12.24	Gosport Borough - Winchester City	1:3 ✺
26.12.24	Winchester City - Totton	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLWL
- Frome Town
English Southern League South Division
28.12.24	Bracknell Town - Frome Town	4:1 ✺
26.12.24	Frome Town - Plymouth Parkway	5:0 ✺
14.12.24	Frome Town - Swindon Supermarine	3:0 ✺
03.12.24	Hanwell Town - Frome Town	0:2 ✺
30.11.24	Marlow - Frome Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
09.11.24	Frome Town - Winchester City	0:1

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