Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 23

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday


	Poole Town		Harrow Borough

	1	X	2
	1.35	5	5.75
	1.36	5	6
	1.39	5.75	5.55
	1.4	5.75	5.55
	1.4	5	5
	1.35	5.05	6.15
	1.36	5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.4)	5.22 ↑ (4.8)	5.71 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poole Town
66.5%

Draw
17.5%

Harrow Borough
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

18.9%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

18.1%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poole Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Harrow Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrow Borough than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Poole Town - Harrow Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Poole won 4.

Poole is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Harrow is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Poole have a series of guest games.

In this match Poole is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Poole won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Poole won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
16.12.23	Bracknell Town - Poole Town	1:1 ✺
28.11.23	Merthyr Town - Poole Town	0:2 ✺
25.11.23	Sholing - Poole Town	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Didcot Town - Poole Town	0:7 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.11.23	Poole Town - Bracknell Town	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLWL
- Harrow Borough
English Southern League South Division
16.12.23	Harrow Borough - Basingstoke Town	4:2 ✺
25.11.23	Hungerford Town - Harrow Borough	2:1 ✺
18.11.23	Harrow Borough - Merthyr Town	1:2 ✺
14.11.23	Beaconsfield Town - Harrow Borough	3:1 ✺
11.11.23	Tiverton Town - Harrow Borough	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
26.08.23	Harrow Borough - Poole Town	2:4
15.04.23	Poole Town - Harrow Borough	1:0
12.11.22	Harrow Borough - Poole Town	2:1
16.04.22	Poole Town - Harrow Borough	3:0
28.08.21	Harrow Borough - Poole Town	0:4
08.02.20	Harrow Borough - Poole Town	0:0
14.09.19	Poole Town - Harrow Borough	3:1

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