Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 39

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Merthyr Town		Poole Town

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.5	7.75
	1.31	5.6	6.4
	1.3	6.4	7.25
	1.33	5.51	7.35
	1.31	5.6	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↑ (1.21)	5.72 ↓ (6)	7.03 ↓ (9.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merthyr Town
70.8%

Draw
16.1%

Poole Town
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.4%

15.2%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Poole Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Merthyr Town - Poole Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 1 - 0, Ryan-Phillips C. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 1 - 2, Touray E. ⚽,
90+6', Williams J. 🟥,
90+6', Ashton S. 🟥,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South and 18).

Merthyr is Qualified for National League South

Last 5 head-to-head matches Merthyr won 2.

Merthyr is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Poole is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Merthyr is absolute favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Merthyr won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15:22 (average 1.2:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Merthyr won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:10 (average 0.5:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merthyr Town
English Southern League South Division
05.04.25	Hanwell Town - Merthyr Town	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Winchester City - Merthyr Town	1:3 ✺
22.03.25	Merthyr Town - Chertsey Town	3:1 ✺
15.03.25	Gosport Borough - Merthyr Town	1:3 ✺
08.03.25	Merthyr Town - Swindon Supermarine	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWWW
- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
05.04.25	Poole Town - Marlow	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Plymouth Parkway - Poole Town	3:1 ✺
22.03.25	Poole Town - Sholing	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Walton & Hersham - Poole Town	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Poole Town - Winchester City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
14.12.24	Poole Town - Merthyr Town	1:6
06.04.24	Poole Town - Merthyr Town	1:3
28.11.23	Merthyr Town - Poole Town	0:2
14.03.23	Poole Town - Merthyr Town	2:0
27.08.22	Merthyr Town - Poole Town	1:2
12.02.22	Poole Town - Merthyr Town	2:0
19.10.21	Merthyr Town - Poole Town	0:3

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