Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 18

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Harrow Borough		Merthyr Town

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.75	1.83
	3.4	3.75	1.87
	3.51	3.95	1.87
	3.51	3.95	1.88
	3.1	3.75	1.91
	3.54	3.74	1.81
	3.4	3.75	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (3.16)	3.81 ↑ (3.75)	1.86 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harrow Borough
27%

Draw
24%

Merthyr Town
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

24.2%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

21.6%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrow Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Merthyr Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrow Borough than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harrow Borough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Merthyr Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Harrow Borough - Merthyr Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Harrow won 1.

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two teams.

Harrow could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Merthyr is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Harrow won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Harrow won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrow Borough
English Southern League South Division
14.11.23	Beaconsfield Town - Harrow Borough	3:1 ✺
11.11.23	Tiverton Town - Harrow Borough	0:0 ✺
04.11.23	Harrow Borough - Salisbury	2:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Harrow Borough - Beaconsfield Town	1:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
24.10.23	Harrow Borough - Bracknell Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- Merthyr Town
English Southern League South Division
11.11.23	Merthyr Town - Totton	1:3 ✺
04.11.23	Hendon - Merthyr Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
31.10.23	Totton - Merthyr Town	2:1 ✺
English Southern League South Division
24.10.23	Merthyr Town - Winchester City	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Hayes & Yeading United - Merthyr Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
04.03.23	Harrow Borough - Merthyr Town	1:2
22.10.22	Merthyr Town - Harrow Borough	2:2
26.03.22	Harrow Borough - Merthyr Town	1:1
20.11.21	Merthyr Town - Harrow Borough	1:2
04.01.20	Merthyr Town - Harrow Borough	2:2
10.08.19	Harrow Borough - Merthyr Town	1:0
09.03.19	Merthyr Town - Harrow Borough	1:1

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