Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 21

Date: 6 February 2024, Tuesday


	Poole Town		Hayes & Yeading United

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.6	3.4
	2.1	3.75	2.8
	2.13	3.7	2.63
	2.11	4.06	2.85
	2.08	3.78	2.85
	2.1	3.75	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.61)	3.77 ↓ (4.1)	2.89 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poole Town
44.3%

Draw
24.1%

Hayes & Yeading United
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

22.2%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

21.6%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poole Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Poole Town's form might have worsened.

Hayes & Yeading United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hayes & Yeading United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Poole Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hayes & Yeading United than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hayes & Yeading United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Poole Town - Hayes & Yeading United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 7 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Poole won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Poole could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hayes & Yeading have a series of guest games.

Poole will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Poole won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Poole won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
03.02.24	Poole Town - Hanwell Town	0:3 ✺
30.01.24	Poole Town - Salisbury	4:5 ✺
27.01.24	Tiverton Town - Poole Town	4:2 ✺
23.01.24	Poole Town - Swindon Supermarine	1:0 ✺
26.12.23	Dorchester Town - Poole Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWW
- Hayes & Yeading United
English Southern League South Division
03.02.24	Hayes & Yeading United - Hungerford Town	3:2 ✺
30.01.24	Hayes & Yeading United - Bracknell Town	3:2 ✺
27.01.24	Harrow Borough - Hayes & Yeading United	1:1 ✺
23.01.24	Hayes & Yeading United - Plymouth Parkway	0:2 ✺
13.01.24	Tiverton Town - Hayes & Yeading United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
09.09.23	Hayes & Yeading United - Poole Town	5:3
25.03.23	Poole Town - Hayes & Yeading United	2:1
25.10.22	Hayes & Yeading United - Poole Town	1:1
19.02.22	Hayes & Yeading United - Poole Town	6:1
23.10.21	Poole Town - Hayes & Yeading United	1:4
26.09.20	Poole Town - Hayes & Yeading United	2:1
21.01.20	Hayes & Yeading United - Poole Town	1:2

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