Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 38

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Poole Town		Marlow

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.25	7.5
	1.29	5.2	7.4
	1.35	5.32	7.33
	1.25	5.4	8.8
	1.29	5.2	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.41)	5.27 ↑ (4.49)	7.69 ↑ (6.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poole Town
70.8%

Draw
17.3%

Marlow
11.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.9%

20.3%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

19.3%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poole Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Poole Town's performance.

Marlow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marlow than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Poole Town - Marlow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 1 - 0, Touray E. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Marlow is Relegated to

Recent matches Poole is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marlow has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Poole is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Poole won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
29.03.25	Plymouth Parkway - Poole Town	3:1 ✺
22.03.25	Poole Town - Sholing	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Walton & Hersham - Poole Town	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Poole Town - Winchester City	3:2 ✺
01.03.25	Hanwell Town - Poole Town	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLWT
- Marlow
English Southern League South Division
29.03.25	Marlow - Havant & Waterlooville	1:3 ✺
22.03.25	Dorchester Town - Marlow	6:0 ✺
15.03.25	Marlow - Taunton Town	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Bracknell Town - Marlow	4:1 ✺
01.03.25	Marlow - Swindon Supermarine	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
24.08.24	Marlow - Poole Town	1:2

Poole Town - Marlow