Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Walton & Hersham		Poole Town

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.9	4.95
	1.57	3.89	5.12
	1.58	4.15	5.06	Watch
	1.53	3.8	4.75
	1.56	3.74	5.18
	1.57	3.8	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.55)	3.88 ↓ (4.32)	5.07 ↑ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Walton & Hersham
58.6%

Draw
23.5%

Poole Town
18%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60%

21.5%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

21.1%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Walton & Hersham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Poole Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walton & Hersham than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Walton & Hersham - Poole Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Hill I. ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Hill I. ⚽,
38', Faniyan S. A. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 1 - 2, Wood J. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

Walton & Hersham is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Poole's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Walton & Hersham is a strong favorite.

We predict that Walton & Hersham will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Walton & Hersham won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Walton & Hersham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Poole	12	9	0	3	22:13	9	27

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Walton & Hersham: 0.38%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Walton & Hersham
English Southern League South Division
17.01.26	Weymouth - Walton & Hersham	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.01.26	Walton & Hersham - Brackley Town	1:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
03.01.26	Walton & Hersham - Gosport Borough	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Chertsey Town - Walton & Hersham	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Walton & Hersham - Hanwell Town	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWWW
- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
17.01.26	Poole Town - Yate Town	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	Hanwell Town - Poole Town	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Poole Town - Plymouth Parkway	7:0 ✺
27.12.25	Wimborne Town - Poole Town	0:2 ✺
20.12.25	Poole Town - Sholing	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
02.12.25	Poole Town - Walton & Hersham	2:2
15.03.25	Walton & Hersham - Poole Town	2:0
21.09.24	Poole Town - Walton & Hersham	1:1
27.04.24	Walton & Hersham - Poole Town	3:0
09.03.24	Poole Town - Walton & Hersham	1:3

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