Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 34

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday


	Poole Town		Winchester City

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.7	2.75
	2.07	3.7	2.9
	2.04	3.8	3.17
	2.07	3.79	3.13
	2.08	3.9	3.02
	2.07	3.7	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.31)	3.77 ↑ (3.63)	2.98 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poole Town
44.6%

Draw
24.5%

Winchester City
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

25%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

24.6%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poole Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Poole Town's performance.

Winchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winchester City than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Poole Town - Winchester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Batzelis C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, Hill I. ⚽,
54', 1 - 2, Hill I. ⚽,
60', Dotse 🟨,
67', 2 - 2, Campbell K. ⚽,
73', 3 - 2, Campbell K. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Poole won 2.

Poole is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Winchester is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Winchester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Poole will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Poole won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Poole won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Winchester City - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.62%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
01.03.25	Hanwell Town - Poole Town	3:3 ✺
25.02.25	Hungerford Town - Poole Town	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Poole Town - Gloucester City	0:1 ✺
18.02.25	Wimborne Town - Poole Town	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Poole Town - Tiverton Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTLLL
- Winchester City
English Southern League South Division
01.03.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Winchester City	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Winchester City - Sholing	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Taunton Town - Winchester City	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Gloucester City - Winchester City	5:0 ✺
08.02.25	Winchester City - Hanwell Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
08.10.24	Winchester City - Poole Town	1:1
09.04.24	Poole Town - Winchester City	2:1
16.03.24	Winchester City - Poole Town	4:0
14.02.23	Poole Town - Winchester City	1:0
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Winchester City - Poole Town	2:0
English Southern League South Division
06.08.22	Winchester City - Poole Town	0:3

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