Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 19

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	IB3


	Porreres		Valencia B

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.1	2.42
	2.56	3.35	2.51	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.52	3.22	2.48
	2.54	3.33	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (3.29)	3.22 ↑ (3.05)	2.48 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porreres
35.5%

Draw
28.1%

Valencia B
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

29.6%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

29%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porreres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Porreres's performance.

Valencia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valencia B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porreres than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Porreres that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia B than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valencia B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Porreres - Valencia B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Cuenca R. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Fontanet J. ⚽,
44', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+5', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Porreres is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Valencia B is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Porreres may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Porreres won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Valencia B	5	1	1	3	5:7	-2	4

Last Results with these Odds

Valencia B - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 42.98%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Porreres
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
11.01.26	Sant Andreu - Porreres	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Porreres - Poblense	0:3 ✺
21.12.25	Espanyol B - Porreres	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Porreres - Andratx	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Atlético Baleares - Porreres	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLTWL
- Valencia B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
11.01.26	Valencia B - Torrent	2:1 ✺
07.01.26	Barcelona B - Valencia B	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Terrassa - Valencia B	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Valencia B - Olot	3:2 ✺
07.12.25	Valencia B - Girona B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
26.10.25	Valencia B - Porreres	1:1

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