Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 17

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	IB3


	Porreres		Poblense

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.8	2.1
	4.15	2.92	1.9
	4.21	2.98	1.95	Watch
	3.9	2.9	2
	4.14	3.1	1.98
	4.2	3	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↑ (3.6)	2.95 ↓ (3)	1.98 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Porreres
22.8%

Draw
31%

Poblense
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

30%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

29.7%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porreres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Poblense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porreres than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Porreres - Poblense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Xesc Fullana (Penalty Awarded),
19', 0 - 2, Garcia M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 0 - 3, Penyafort T. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Porreres may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Poblense has had a series of home games.

Poblense could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Porreres won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Porreres won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Poblense	5	1	0	4	3:7	-4	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Porreres
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
21.12.25	Espanyol B - Porreres	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Porreres - Andratx	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Atlético Baleares - Porreres	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Porreres - Reus FC Reddis	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Alcoyano - Porreres	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWLTL
- UD Poblense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
20.12.25	Poblense - Terrassa	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Poblense - Atlètic Lleida	3:0 ✺
30.11.25	Poblense - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Atlético Baleares - Poblense	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Poblense - Valencia B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
23.03.25	Porreres - Poblense	0:0
09.11.24	Poblense - Porreres	0:1

Upcoming Matches