Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 18

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Sant Andreu		Porreres

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.25	7.5
	1.35	4.48	8.26	Watch
	1.36	4	7.5
	1.34	4.2	8.65
	1.33	4.5	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.37)	4.29 ↑ (3.4)	8.08 ↑ (6.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sant Andreu
67.5%

Draw
21.2%

Porreres
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

24.9%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

23.2%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sant Andreu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sant Andreu's performance.

Porreres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sant Andreu than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porreres than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Sant Andreu - Porreres Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, Mendes M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Sant Andreu is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Porreres has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Sant Andreu is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sant Andreu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Sant Andreu
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
04.01.26	Barbastro - Sant Andreu	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Sant Andreu - Castellon B	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Atlètic Lleida - Sant Andreu	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Sant Andreu - Espanyol B	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Sant Andreu - Celta de Vigo	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTWL
- UE Porreres
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
04.01.26	Porreres - Poblense	0:3 ✺
21.12.25	Espanyol B - Porreres	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Porreres - Andratx	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Atlético Baleares - Porreres	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Porreres - Reus FC Reddis	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
02.11.25	Porreres - Sant Andreu	1:0

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