The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Port Melbourne Sharks 7.5%
Draw 13.7%
Avondale 78.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15.4%
19.4%
65.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.1%
19%
66.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Melbourne Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Port Melbourne Sharks's form might have worsened.
Avondale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avondale's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Melbourne Sharks than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Port Melbourne Sharks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avondale than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avondale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Port Melbourne Sharks - Avondale Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.75 - Avondale (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Avondale (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Aguek M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Melbourne won 0.
Recent form of Port Melbourne has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Avondale has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Avondale is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Port Melbourne won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 15:39. (average 0.8:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Melbourne won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:21. (average 0.8:2.1).