Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 10

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday


	Port Melbourne Sharks		Hume City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3.6	1.95
	5.8	4.4	1.43	Watch
	6.45	4.71	1.43	Watch
	5.61	5.08	1.44	Watch
	5.8	4.4	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.39 ↑ (4.43)	4.44 ↓ (4.61)	1.54 (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Port Melbourne Sharks
17.5%

Draw
21.2%

Hume City
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

19.9%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

18.6%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Melbourne Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Hume City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Melbourne Sharks than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hume City than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hume City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Port Melbourne Sharks - Hume City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hume City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Port Melbourne (4.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Port Melbourne (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Port Melbourne (3.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB, 2nd Half - Port Melbourne (3.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Port Melbourne (3.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC, 2nd Half - Port Melbourne (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC, 1st Half - Port Melbourne (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Port Melbourne (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Hume City (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Harker R. ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, Okane J. ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, Alisandratos T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', Mouyette R. 🟥,
87', 1 - 3, Russell J. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Port Melbourne won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

In this match Hume City is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Port Melbourne won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 22:31 (average 1.2:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Port Melbourne won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Melbourne Sharks
Australian NPL Victoria
05.04.25	Dandenong Thunder - Port Melbourne Sharks	5:1 ✺
28.03.25	Port Melbourne Sharks - Preston Lions	3:2 ✺
23.03.25	St Albans Dinamo - Port Melbourne Sharks	3:0 ✺
14.03.25	Port Melbourne Sharks - Melbourne Victory Youth	0:3 ✺
09.03.25	Melbourne Knights - Port Melbourne Sharks	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLLL
- Hume City FC
Australian NPL Victoria
04.04.25	Hume City - Oakleigh Cannons	0:3 ✺
29.03.25	Avondale - Hume City	2:0 ✺
21.03.25	Hume City - South Melbourne	1:1 ✺
14.03.25	Heidelberg United - Hume City	5:1 ✺
07.03.25	Hume City - Altona Magic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
08.06.24	Port Melbourne Sharks - Hume City	0:3
02.03.24	Hume City - Port Melbourne Sharks	4:0
12.08.23	Hume City - Port Melbourne Sharks	1:1
06.05.23	Port Melbourne Sharks - Hume City	3:0
28.05.22	Port Melbourne Sharks - Hume City	1:2
26.02.22	Hume City - Port Melbourne Sharks	3:3
Australian Cup
10.11.21	Hume City - Port Melbourne Sharks	3:1

Port Melbourne Sharks - Hume City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide