Match Info
NPL Victoria - Round 24Date: 1 August 2025, FridayLocation: JL Murphy Reserve - SS Anderson Oval (Port Melbourne)
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Port Melbourne Sharks |
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Dandenong City |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
3.9 |
4.33 |
1.65 |
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 |
3.9 |
4.25 |
1.62 |
Watch |
 |
4.95 |
4.55 |
1.55 |
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2.27 |
3.52 |
2.85 |
Watch |
 |
4.4 |
4 |
1.62 |
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4.3 |
4.2 |
1.59 |
Watch |
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6 |
4.2 |
1.44 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.25 ↓
(5.95) |
4.15
(4.15) |
1.76 ↑
(1.45) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Port Melbourne Sharks
22.5% | Draw
23.1% | Dandenong City
54.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Melbourne Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Port Melbourne Sharks's performance.Dandenong City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dandenong City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Melbourne Sharks than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Port Melbourne Sharks that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dandenong City than the current prediction. (+11.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dandenong City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Port Melbourne Sharks - Dandenong City Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dandenong City (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Dandenong City will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Gillingham W. ⚽,
- 30', 1 - 1, Inaba G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 74', 🟥,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Melbourne won 1.Recent form of Port Melbourne has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Dandenong City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). In this match, Dandenong City is considered a favorite.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Port Melbourne won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.9:2.1).Including home matches between the teams, Port Melbourne won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NPL Victoria | | | 25.04.25 | Dandenong City - Port Melbourne Sharks | 5:2 | | 09.08.24 | Dandenong City - Port Melbourne Sharks | 5:3 | | 04.05.24 | Port Melbourne Sharks - Dandenong City | 3:1 | | 16.07.22 | Port Melbourne Sharks - Dandenong City | 1:1 | | 16.04.22 | Dandenong City - Port Melbourne Sharks | 1:1 | | 21.05.21 | Dandenong City - Port Melbourne Sharks | 0:2 | | 25.08.19 | Port Melbourne Sharks - Dandenong City | 2:3 |
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