The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portadown 36.7%
Draw 26.4%
Limavady United 36.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.8%
24.1%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
25.4%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portadown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portadown's form might have worsened.
Limavady United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portadown than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portadown, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Limavady United than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Portadown - Limavady United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. McCarey A. (G) 4. Altintop B. 12. Breen R. 3. Carson M. 7. Chapman L. 34. Flanagan F. 23. Hewitt M. 2. Isamala D. 28. Kennedy B. 17. O'Mahoney S. 26. Thompson G.
1. Gallagher M. (G) 5. Boorman T. 9. Duffy O. 4. Farren K. 20. Gaston A. 18. Lafferty D. 7. Lowry P. 8. Lowry S. 10. McGonigle J. 24. Mullan A. 23. Wilson R.
Substitutes
33. Barry J. (G) 9. Falls C. 10. Fyfe E. 22. Scott J. 19. Teelan J. 8. Towe A. 14. Wells B.
16. Boorman R. 77. Boyd L. 19. Brown R. 27. Carlin S. 21. Doherty F. (G) 15. O'Donnell S. 11. Tosh L.
Coaches
Jeffrey D.
Owens P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', Breen R. ↓, Teelan J. ↑,
7', Boorman T. 🟨,
12', Carson M. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Teelan J. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, McGonigle J. ⚽,
25', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Gaston A. ↓, Boyd L. ↑,
60', Flanagan F. ↓, Towe A. ↑,
60', Chapman L. ↓, Scott J. ↑,
62', Duffy O. ↓, Tosh L. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Altintop B. ⚽,
75', 🟨,
75', 3 - 1, Kennedy B. ⚽,
76', Wilson R. ↓, Boorman R. ↑,
76', Lowry S. ↓, Carlin S. ↑,
80', Altintop B. 🟨,
84', Boorman T. 🟥,
90+1', Boyd L. 🟥,
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 12th in the NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 10th in the NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
Portadown is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Limavady has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Portadown has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 2:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Portadown against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).
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McCarey A. (G) 
Altintop B. 
Breen R. 
Carson M. 
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