The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crusaders 45.6%
Draw 25.4%
Limavady United 29%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.3%
25.3%
35.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.8%
25%
35%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crusaders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crusaders's performance.
Limavady United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Limavady United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crusaders that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Limavady United than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Limavady United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Crusaders - Limavady United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Callister S. (G) 42. Anderson L. 4. Blaney J. 11. Dunlop E. 2. Forsythe K. 8. Jewitt-White H. 3. Kelly G. 22. McKay R. 18. Reid A. 15. Wardell O. 6. Weir R.
1. Gallagher M. (G) 5. Boorman T. 17. Butcher J. 4. Farren K. 20. Gaston A. 18. Lafferty D. 7. Lowry P. 8. Lowry S. 10. McGonigle J. 24. Mullan A. 23. Wilson R.
Substitutes
43. Barr L. 31. Brown R. (G) 12. Doherty J. 27. Maguire T. 7. McKechnie K. 20. Mulholland M. 5. Rough S.
16. Boorman R. 77. Boyd L. 19. Brown R. 27. Carlin S. 21. Doherty F. (G) 9. Duffy O. 15. O'Donnell S.
Coaches
Caddell D.
Owens P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Lowry P. ⚽,
34', Blaney J. ↓, Rough S. ↑,
43', Forsythe K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 0 - 2, McGonigle J. ⚽,
55', Reid A. ↓, McKechnie K. ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Dunlop E. ⚽,
73', Mullan A. ↓, Boorman R. ↑,
76', Gaston A. ↓, Boyd L. ↑,
76', Anderson L. ↓, Maguire T. ↑,
85', McKechnie K. 🟨,
90+1', McGonigle J. ↓, Duffy O. ↑,
90+1', Wilson R. ↓, O'Donnell S. ↑,
90+2', Jewitt-White H. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
Crusaders has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Limavady is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Limavady has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
Including home matches between the teams, Crusaders won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
United-kingdom
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Callister S. (G) 
Anderson L. 
Blaney J. 
Jewitt-White H. 
Kelly G. 
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