Match Info

WALES: CYMRU NORTH - ROUND 26

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	Porthmadog		Buckley Town

	1	X	2
	2.49	3.79	2.27
	2.49	3.79	2.27
	2.46	3.76	2.3
	2.46	3.75	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.19)	3.77 ↑ (3.69)	2.28 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porthmadog
36.5%

Draw
23.9%

Buckley Town
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

24.6%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

23.6%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porthmadog has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Buckley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Buckley Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porthmadog than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Porthmadog, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buckley Town than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buckley Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 11).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Buckley Town could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Porthmadog won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Porthmadog won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porthmadog FC
Welsh Cymru North
02.03.24	Porthmadog - Gresford Athletic	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Llanidloes Town - Porthmadog	1:2 ✺
17.02.24	Caersws - Porthmadog	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Porthmadog - Llandudno	2:3 ✺
02.02.24	Denbigh Town - Porthmadog	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWLL
- Buckley Town
Welsh Cymru North
05.03.24	Holywell Town - Buckley Town	3:0 ✺
23.02.24	Llandudno - Buckley Town	1:5 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
17.02.24	Buckley Town - Gap Connahs Quay	1:4 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
10.02.24	Buckley Town - Denbigh Town	1:2 ✺
03.02.24	Mold Alexandra - Buckley Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh FA Cup
09.12.23	Porthmadog - Buckley Town	0:2
Welsh Cymru North
28.08.23	Buckley Town - Porthmadog	1:1
07.02.23	Porthmadog - Buckley Town	1:1
19.11.22	Buckley Town - Porthmadog	3:1

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