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Current Win Probability
Portland Thorns 43.7%
Draw 27.8%
Angel City 28.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.9%
26.1%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.7%
25.2%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Thorns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portland Thorns's form might have worsened.
Angel City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Thorns than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portland Thorns, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Angel City than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Angel City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Portland Thorns - Angel City Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Portland Thorns will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Angel City will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. Arnold M. (G) 2. Reyes R. 5. Obaze I. 16. Hiatt S. (C) 25. Vignola M. 21. Fleming J. 6. Bogere C. 23. Muller M. 19. Tordin P. 66. Turner R. 9. Wilson S.
19. Anderson A. (G) 20. Thompson G. 6. Sams E. 11. Gorden S. (C) 15. Shores E. 16. Lageyre C. 14. Martin N. 8. Ary Borges 18. Endo J. 33. Tiernan R. 99. Suarez T.
Substitutes
26. Alidou d'Anjou M. 4. Calzada C. 15. Harvey S. 40. Immethun J. 41. Lyles R. 29. Mckenzie M. 35. Messner M. (G) 11. Padelski M. 24. Perry J.
9. Casey Phair 4. Cherry K. 24. Chilufya P. 10. Emslie C. 17. Fuller K. 25. Mattice S. 30. Nguyen F. (G) 13. Seabert H. G. (G)
Coaches
Vilahamn R.
Straus A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Martin N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Tiernan R. ↓, Casey Phair ↑,
65', Endo J. ↓, Fuller K. ↑,
67', Obaze I. ↓, Calzada C. ↑,
68', Muller M. ↓, Alidou d'Anjou M. ↑,
74', Vignola M. ↓, Mckenzie M. ↑,
80', Lageyre C. ↓, Emslie C. ↑,
82', Sams E. 🟨,
90+5', Suarez T. ↓, Chilufya P. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland Thorns won 3.
Portland Thorns is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Angel City is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Portland Thorns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Portland Thorns has had a series of away games.
Recently, Angel City has had a series of home games.
In this match, Portland Thorns is a strong favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Portland Thorns won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Portland Thorns won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:6. (average 2.7:1).