The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Racing Louisville 25.1%
Draw 24.9%
Portland Thorns 50%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.1%
28.8%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.6%
28.4%
40.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing Louisville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing Louisville's form might have worsened.
Portland Thorns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portland Thorns's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Louisville than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing Louisville, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Thorns than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portland Thorns, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Racing Louisville - Portland Thorns Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Bloomer J. (G) 2. Milliet L. 8. Petersen C. 3. Wright A. (C) 12. McMahon Q. 20. O'Kane K. 26. Flint T. 4. Morris M. 9. Fischer K. 6. Hase E. 42. Weber S.
18. Arnold M. (G) 2. Reyes R. 4. Calzada C. 16. Hiatt S. (C) 25. Vignola M. 21. Fleming J. 6. Bogere C. 66. Turner R. 13. Moultrie O. 19. Tordin P. 9. Wilson S.
Substitutes
23. Blackburn M. 19. Ciorbu A. 15. Gacioch M. 21. Hill R. 10. Hodge M. 16. Lardner M. 88. McKeen A. 1. Prohaska M. (G) 13. Sears E.
26. Alidou d'Anjou M. 10. Castellanos D. 41. Lyles R. 29. Mckenzie M. 35. Messner M. (G) 23. Muller M. 5. Obaze I. 11. Padelski M. 24. Perry J.
Coaches
Yanez B.
Vilahamn R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Wilson S. ⚽, Moultrie O. (A),
14', 1 - 1, O'Kane K. ⚽, Milliet L. (A),
41', Fischer K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Turner R. ↓, Alidou d'Anjou M. ↑,
52', Bogere C. ↓, Castellanos D. ↑,
61', Morris M. ↓, Sears E. ↑,
64', Tordin P. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
71', Weber S. ↓, Lardner M. ↑,
73', Flint T. 🟨,
76', Hiatt S. 🟨,
77', 2 - 1, O'Kane K. ⚽,
83', Fischer K. ↓, Hodge M. ↑,
83', Hase E. ↓, McKeen A. ↑,
87', Vignola M. ↓, Perry J. ↑,
88', Reyes R. ↓, Padelski M. ↑,
90+6', 3 - 1, Sears E. ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing Louisville won 2.
Racing Louisville is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Portland Thorns is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Recently, Racing Louisville has had a series of away games.
Portland Thorns is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Racing Louisville won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Racing Louisville won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
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Bloomer J. (G) 
Arnold M. (G) 
Reyes R. 
Fleming J. 
Bogere C. 
Castellanos D. 
Muller M. 
Obaze I. 
Vilahamn R. 
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