Match Info

MLS

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Providence Park (Portland, OR)

Referee: Dujic F. (Can)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SportsEngine Play
World	Apple TV International


	Portland Timbers		Minnesota United

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.70	2.50	Watch
	2.40	3.60	2.60
	2.45	3.60	2.55
	2.55	3.82	2.65
	2.33	3.83	2.76	Watch
	2.50	3.75	2.60
	2.64	3.76	2.59	Watch
	2.50	3.70	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (1.92)	3.72 ↓ (3.86)	2.59 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portland Timbers
38%

Draw
25.5%

Minnesota United
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

24.2%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

24.2%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portland Timbers's form might have worsened.

Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Minnesota United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portland Timbers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Minnesota United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Portland Timbers - Minnesota United Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Minnesota will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Pantemis J. (G) 15. Miller E. 20. Surman F. (C) 4. Miller K. 27. Fory J. 17. Bassett C. 30. Caicedo J. 10. Da Costa D. 7. Lassiter A. 14. Janssen V. 99. Velde K.	12. Callender D. (G) 28. Diaz J. 15. Boxall M. (C) 23. Duggan M. 13. Markanich A. 3. Duncan K. 30. Gene O. 20. Trapp W. 26. Pereyra J. 22. Caldeira M. 9. Yeboah K.
Substitutes
11. Antony 6. Bonetig A. 21. Chara D. 22. Fernandez O. 88. Guerra G. 80. Ortiz J. 23. Smith I. 26. Sulte H. (G) 2. Waterman J.	8. Chancalay T. 33. Chandler K. 18. Gonzalez M. 67. Harvey C. 16. Jackson A. 11. Malone M. 5. Romero N. 1. Smir A. (G) 25. Triantis N.
Coaches
Cifuentes M.	Knowles C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
11', 1 - 0, Janssen V. (Penalty Awarded),
21', 2 - 0, Callender D. (Own goal),
24', Boxall M. 🟨,
26', 3 - 0, Janssen V. ⚽, Da Costa D. (A),
32', 3 - 1, Caldeira M. ⚽, Pereyra J. (A),
37', Caicedo J. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
38', 3 - 2, Markanich A. ⚽, Yeboah K. (A),
45+8', Surman F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
51', 3 - 3, Caldeira M. ⚽,
55', 4 - 3, Janssen V. ⚽, Lassiter A. (A),
69', Lassiter A. ↓, Antony ↑,
69', Janssen V. ↓, Chara D. ↑,
71', 5 - 3, Velde K. ⚽, Antony (A),
73', Trapp W. ↓, Triantis N. ↑,
73', Caldeira M. ↓, Chancalay T. ↑,
75', Diaz J. 🟨,
79', Yeboah K. ↓, Malone M. ↑,
82', Miller E. ↓, Waterman J. ↑,
82', Da Costa D. ↓, Smith I. ↑,
89', Markanich A. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
89', Gene O. ↓, Harvey C. ↑,
90+2', 5 - 4, Chancalay T. ⚽, Harvey C. (A),
90+6', Duggan M. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Portland might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Portland: Aravena A. (Hip Injury) Bye B. (Leg Injury) Chara D. (Thigh Injury) Mosquera J. (Foot Injury) Muse T. (Wrist Injury)

There will not play in Minnesota: Hlongwane B. (Knee Injury) Stroud P. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Minnesota: Callender D. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:36. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Portland Timbers - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 48.73%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portland Timbers
MLS
29.08.26	Portland Timbers - Austin FC	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Los Angeles - Portland Timbers	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Portland Timbers - San Diego	3:1 ✺
16.08.26	Chicago Fire - Portland Timbers	2:1 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
13.08.26	Portland Timbers - Tijuana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LTWLW
- Minnesota United
MLS
29.08.26	Minnesota United - Orlando City	3:3 ✺
22.08.26	San Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United	1:5 ✺
19.08.26	Minnesota United - Atlanta United	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Real Salt Lake - Minnesota United	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
11.08.26	Minnesota United - Atlante	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
18.04.26	Minnesota United - Portland Timbers	2:0
30.08.25	Minnesota United - Portland Timbers	1:1
19.07.25	Portland Timbers - Minnesota United	1:1
29.06.24	Portland Timbers - Minnesota United	3:2
18.05.24	Minnesota United - Portland Timbers	2:1
01.07.23	Minnesota United - Portland Timbers	4:1
20.05.23	Portland Timbers - Minnesota United	0:1

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