Match Info

MLS Next Pro

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Providence Park (Portland, OR)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
World	Onefootball


	Portland Timbers 2		Tacoma Defiance

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.75	2.98	Watch
	2.11	3.8	3.04
	2.14	3.57	3.1	Watch
	2	3.4	2.9
	2.05	3.58	3	Watch
	2.16	3.5	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.16)	3.6 ↑ (3.5)	2.96 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portland Timbers 2
43.8%

Draw
25.4%

Tacoma Defiance
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

25.7%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

26.8%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portland Timbers 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers 2 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Joseph S. (G) 81. Mueller H. 44. Bamford A. 61. Lund N. 94. Ondo C. 73. Izoita E. 35. Fernandez-Kim L. 46. Enriquez V. 37. Santos N. 47. Cervantes D. 39. Griffith C.	56. Newman N. (G) 33. Baker C. 53. Sandnes G. 39. Hawkins S. 48. Phoenix C. 40. O'Neill M. (C) 32. Gnaulati X. 84. Gaffney C. 36. Tsukanome Y. 42. Jauregui R. 79. Gonzalez L.
Substitutes
77. Barjolo B. 66. Cruthers C. 98. Deisenhofer M. (G) 64. Izoita J. 90. Kissel M. 63. Nunez D. 57. VanVoorhis B.	81. Bronnik M. 30. Carli E. 62. Emert M. 43. Hassan O. 34. Robles D. 41. Shour M. (G) 58. Winslow J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Gnaulati X. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Izoita E. ⚽, Fernandez-Kim L. (A),
40', O'Neill M. 🟨,
41', Santos N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mueller H. ↓, VanVoorhis B. ↑,
61', Santos N. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
64', Nunez D. 🟨,
73', Gomez S. ↓, Jauregui R. ↑,
73', Bronnik M. ↓, Lucero L. ↑,
78', Carli E. ↓, Hassan O. ↑,
82', Cervantes D. ↓, Kissel M. ↑,
90+1', Alvarez D. ↓, Brito K. ↑,
90+4', Ondo C. 🟨,
90+6', Griffith C. ↓, Barjolo B. ↑,
90+8', Lopez A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland 2 won 3.

Recent performances by Portland 2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tacoma is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Portland 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Portland 2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland 2 won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 39:39. (average 2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Portland 2 won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:20. (average 2.6:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Tacoma Defiance - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.69%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portland Timbers 2
MLS Next Pro
24.05.26	Portland Timbers 2 - Houston Dynamo 2	0:3 ✺
17.05.26	San Jose Earthquakes 2 - Portland Timbers 2	0:1 ✺
13.05.26	Portland Timbers 2 - Minnesota United 2	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Portland Timbers 2 - Ventura County	3:4 penalties ✺
03.05.26	Real Monarchs - Portland Timbers 2	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 LWWLW
- Tacoma Defiance
MLS Next Pro
22.05.26	Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Tacoma Defiance	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Austin II - Tacoma Defiance	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Sporting Kansas City II - Tacoma Defiance	2:3 penalties ✺
26.04.26	Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles 2	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS Next Pro
24.08.25	Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance	2:1
27.07.25	Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2	1:2
18.05.25	Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance	2:1
08.09.24	Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2	5:2
30.06.24	Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2	1:0
10.05.24	Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance	4:1
04.09.23	Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2	4:0

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