The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Monarchs 39.2%
Draw 26.3%
Portland Timbers 2 34.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.3%
25.1%
28.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.8%
25.9%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Monarchs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Monarchs's form might have worsened.
Portland Timbers 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portland Timbers 2's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Monarchs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers 2 than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portland Timbers 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Real Monarchs - Portland Timbers 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Kerkvliet M. (G) 47. Ewald F. 3. Henry K. 80. Wentzel M. 67. Charpie W. 77. Mesalles R. 70. Lineker Rodrigues 40. Marquez O. 76. O'Gara L. 30. Anderson O. 33. Parker V.
91. Joseph S. (G) 53. Ferguson C. 94. Ondo C. 61. Lund N. 57. VanVoorhis B. 37. Santos N. 73. Izoita E. 46. Enriquez V. 63. Nunez D. 35. Fernandez-Kim L. 47. Cervantes D.
Substitutes
99. Alphin R. (G) 61. Amparo I. 55. Calderon G. 44. Cowell C. 50. Djiro L. 64. Kropp D. 79. Ottley J. 88. Ream L. 38. Riquelme A.
77. Barjolo B. 66. Cruthers C. 90. Kissel M. 81. Mueller H. 78. Nystrom M. 54. Walter M. (G) 48. Zendejas N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', Henry K. 🟨,
7', 1 - 0, Marquez O. ⚽,
29', Ondo C. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Cervantes D. ⚽, Santos N. (A),
40', Charpie W. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
58', Ondo C. 🟥,
61', Nunez D. ↓, Mueller H. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Charpie W. ⚽,
66', Marquez O. ↓, Amparo I. ↑,
66', Charpie W. ↓, Ottley J. ↑,
68', O'Gara L. 🟨,
71', Cervantes D. ↓, Kissel M. ↑,
73', 3 - 1, Henry K. ⚽,
74', Mesalles R. 🟨,
78', Henry K. ↓, Calderon G. ↑,
78', Anderson O. ↓, Riquelme A. ↑,
82', VanVoorhis B. 🟨,
86', Santos N. ↓, Barjolo B. ↑,
88', Ewald F. ↓, Cowell C. ↑,
90+3', 4 - 1, Lineker Rodrigues ⚽, Parker V. (A),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 4.
In recent matches, Real Monarchs has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Portland 2 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Real Monarchs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 44:27. (average 2.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Monarchs won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:10. (average 2.8:1).