The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
North Texas 28.9%
Draw 26.3%
San Jose Earthquakes 2 44.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.2%
25.9%
42.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
25.1%
41.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Texas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
San Jose Earthquakes 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes 2 than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
North Texas - San Jose Earthquakes 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Dymora E. (G) 29. Newman E. 22. Alvaro Augusto 14. Goncalves L. 53. Vejrostek L. 10. Nys E. (C) 4. Charles I. 19. Luccin M. 50. Garcia D. 23. Sedeh S. 11. James N.
22. Crockford N. (G) 74. Kwende M. 71. Dossmann N. 66. Cano A. 73. Heisner J. 29. Spivey K. 35. Rajagopal R. 38. Mendoza E. 90. Bohane Z. 70. Allen T. 99. de Flores S.
Substitutes
8. Aroyameh F. 36. Baran D. 12. Biggar J. 20. Contreras J. 25. Gibson J. 43. Jordan A. (G) 17. Molomo Z. 18. Ospina T. 59. Salazar C.
88. Baptista D. 58. Bracken Serra G. 52. Donnery J. 60. Kikuchi Y. 91. Lambe C. (G) 98. Ling A. 77. Spivey J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Spivey K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Sedeh S. ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
46', Luccin M. ↓, Baran D. ↑,
60', Nys E. 🟨,
60', Spivey K. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Charles I. 🟨,
66', 1 - 1, James N. ⚽,
70', Spivey K. ↓, Bracken Serra G. ↑,
70', Kwende M. ↓, Baptista D. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Allen T. ⚽, Cano A. (A),
76', Baptista D. 🟨,
78', Goncalves L. ↓, Salazar C. ↑,
78', Charles I. ↓, Aroyameh F. ↑,
82', Allen T. ↓, Donnery J. ↑,
82', de Flores S. 🟨,
87', James N. ↓, Ospina T. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Nys E. ⚽,
90+1', Heisner J. ↓, Ling A. ↑,
90+2', Contreras J. 🟨,
90+2', Cano A. 🟨,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Donnery J. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Baran D. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Mendoza E. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Salazar C. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Baptista D. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Contreras J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Bracken Serra G. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Garcia D. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
North Texas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
San Jose 2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, North Texas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).