Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday


	Portmany		Poblense

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.3	1.82
	4.9	3.55	1.63
	5.68	3.67	1.56
	5.52	3.7	1.57
	5.52	3.72	1.54
	4.9	3.55	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.04 ↑ (2.86)	3.58 ↑ (3.2)	1.63 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portmany
18.2%

Draw
25.5%

Poblense
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

28.3%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

27.8%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portmany has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portmany's form might have worsened.

Poblense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Poblense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portmany than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portmany, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Poblense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Portmany - Poblense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portmany won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Portmany could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Portmany won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5:17 (average 0.7:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Portmany won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.8:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Portmany
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
22.02.25	Portmany - Mercadal	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Penya Independent - Portmany	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Constancia - Portmany	5:0 ✺
18.01.25	Binissalem - Portmany	0:1 ✺
11.01.25	Portmany - Llosetense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 TTLWT
- UD Poblense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
28.02.25	Poblense - Manacor	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Migjorn - Poblense	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Poblense - PE Sant Jordi	3:0 ✺
01.02.25	Poblense - Santanyí	3:1 ✺
25.01.25	Campos - Poblense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
26.10.24	Poblense - Portmany	2:1
16.12.23	Portmany - Poblense	1:1
28.01.23	Poblense - Portmany	3:1
25.09.22	Portmany - Poblense	0:2
22.01.22	Poblense - Portmany	4:0
26.09.21	Portmany - Poblense	0:0
12.01.20	Portmany - Poblense	2:5

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