Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex (Kingston) 🌤️ ...


	Chapelton Maroons		Waterhouse

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.40	3.20	1.93
	3.5	3.15	1.92	Watch
	3.54	3.2	2.05
	3.63	3.17	2.09	Watch
	3.45	2.9	2
	3.48	3.02	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (3.97)	3.11 ↓ (3.55)	2.01 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapelton Maroons
25.8%

Draw
29.1%

Waterhouse
45.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.3%

26.1%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapelton Maroons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Waterhouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Waterhouse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Chapelton Maroons - Waterhouse Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Waterhouse will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Knight S. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Brown R. ⚽,
29', 0 - 3, Murray C. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
60', 0 - 4, Simms M. (Penalty Awarded),
71', 0 - 5, Benbow C. ⚽,
78', 0 - 6, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapelton won 1.

Chapelton could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Waterhouse carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Chapelton has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:12 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Chapelton against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:6 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Waterhouse	7	4	3	0	17:2	15	15
7	Chapelton	7	2	3	2	4:10	-6	9

Last Results with these Odds

Waterhouse - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.64%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapelton Maroons
Jamaica National Premier League
27.09.26	Tivoli Gardens - Chapelton Maroons	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Chapelton Maroons - Molynes United	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Montego Bay United - Chapelton Maroons	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Waterhouse - Chapelton Maroons	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Chapelton Maroons - Spanish Town Police	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWLLW
- Waterhouse FC
Jamaica National Premier League
27.09.26	Waterhouse - Treasure Beach	2:0 ✺
21.09.26	Humble Lions - Waterhouse	0:5 ✺
13.05.26	Waterhouse - Cavalier	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Cavalier - Waterhouse	2:2 ✺
06.05.26	Waterhouse - Dunbeholden	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
03.05.26	Waterhouse - Chapelton Maroons	3:0
22.01.26	Chapelton Maroons - Waterhouse	0:1
29.09.25	Waterhouse - Chapelton Maroons	3:0
31.03.25	Chapelton Maroons - Waterhouse	1:1
26.01.25	Waterhouse - Chapelton Maroons	0:3
28.10.24	Chapelton Maroons - Waterhouse	1:1
12.03.23	Chapelton Maroons - Waterhouse	2:3

Chapelton Maroons - Waterhouse