Match Info
Premier League - Round 36Date: 22 April 2026, WednesdayLocation: Wespow Park (Montego Bay)
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Montego Bay United |
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Tivoli Gardens |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.42 |
4.15 |
6.1 |
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1.42 |
4.15 |
5.8 |
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1.46 |
4.44 |
6.29 |
 Watch |
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1.4 |
3.9 |
6 |
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1.42 |
3.94 |
6.95 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.43) |
4.12 ↓
(4.55) |
6.23 ↓
(6.71) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Montego Bay United
63.5% | Draw
22% | Tivoli Gardens
14.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montego Bay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Tivoli Gardens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montego Bay United than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (-0.8%) 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 1', 1 - 0, Watson D. (Own goal),
- 38', 1 - 1, Nelson A. ⚽,
- 43', 2 - 1, Sterling M. ⚽,
- 45+1', 3 - 1, Brown D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 85', 4 - 1, Brown B. ⚽,
- 90', 5 - 1, Lucas Lima ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montego Bay United won 3.Montego Bay United is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).Tivoli Gardens has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). In this match, Montego Bay United is the undisputed favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montego Bay United won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 1.4:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Montego Bay United won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montego Bay | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 10 |
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| 4 | Tivoli | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 8 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Jamaica National Premier League | | | 15.01.26 | Tivoli Gardens - Montego Bay United | 0:1 | | 14.09.25 | Montego Bay United - Tivoli Gardens | 3:1 | | 12.05.25 | Montego Bay United - Tivoli Gardens | 1:1 | | 09.05.25 | Tivoli Gardens - Montego Bay United | 1:2 | | 04.05.25 | Tivoli Gardens - Montego Bay United | 2:1 | | 17.02.25 | Montego Bay United - Tivoli Gardens | 3:1 | | 08.12.24 | Tivoli Gardens - Montego Bay United | 2:4 |
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