The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sporting Lisbon B 47.8%
Draw 26.1%
Porto B 26.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.5%
27.2%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.5%
25.6%
24.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Lisbon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Porto B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Sporting Lisbon B - Porto B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Silva F. (G) 85. Mota R. 43. Muniz J. 45. Moreira D. 50. Dias R. 60. Rayan Lucas 96. Justo S. 87. Cardoso P. 88. Mendonca M. (C) 67. Anjos L. 58. Goncalves F.
91. Ribeiro G. (G) 76. Rodrigues D. 64. Gomes L. 73. Bras G. (C) 55. Pereira Y. 92. Teixeira J. 88. Andrade D. 60. Fernandes F. 59. Andrade T. 95. Cande A. 49. Sousa G.
Substitutes
83. Bafdili Z. 77. Besugo R. 68. Costa D. 94. Guzman V. 59. Kaua Oliveira 75. Kissanga M. 86. Machado A. 76. Migueis P. (G) 82. Silva G.
65. Brito J. 84. Cunha M. 78. Fajardo L. 44. Felipe Silva 51. Fernandes D. (G) 83. Goncalves R. 62. Guerra G. 56. Kaue Rodrigues 54. Ribeiro A.
Coaches
Joao Giao
Brandao J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Gomes L. 🟨,
34', Justo S. 🟨,
35', Dias R. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Rodrigues D. ⚽,
45+2', Andrade D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Anjos L. ↓, Guzman V. ↑,
67', Mota R. ↓, Bafdili Z. ↑,
67', Mendonca M. ↓, Besugo R. ↑,
67', Rayan Lucas ↓, Costa D. ↑,
67', Fernandes F. ↓, Kaue Rodrigues ↑,
70', Ribeiro G. 🟨,
75', Rodrigues D. 🟨,
80', Teixeira J. ↓, Felipe Silva ↑,
80', Sousa G. ↓, Fernandes R. ↑,
82', Justo S. ↓, Kissanga M. ↑,
90+1', Pereira Y. ↓, Cunha M. ↑,
90+1', Andrade D. ↓, Brito J. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,
90+6', Rodrigues D. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting B won 2.
Sporting B has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Porto B has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Porto B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Sporting B is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
We predict that Porto B will win today's game, with odds of 3.54.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sporting B won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Sporting B won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Sporting CP B
6
4
0
2
8:6
2
12
17
FC Porto B
6
1
1
4
4:13
-9
4
Last Results with these Odds
Porto B - the odds 3.54 are the expected chance of winning is 26.38%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Portugal
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Silva F. (G) 
Moreira D. 
Rayan Lucas 
Andrade D. 
Bafdili Z. 
Guzman V. 
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