Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 27

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday


	Porto DAscoli		Montegiorgio

	1	X	2
	2	2.75	3.8
	2	2.8	3.8
	1.99	2.93	3.82
	2.07	2.81	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.08)	2.82 ↑ (2.71)	3.87 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto DAscoli
44.7%

Draw
31.9%

Montegiorgio
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

33.4%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

32%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto DAscoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Montegiorgio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto DAscoli than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montegiorgio than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Porto DAscoli - Montegiorgio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out)).

Porto D'Ascoli is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Montegiorgio is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Porto D'Ascoli will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Porto D'Ascoli won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Porto D'Ascoli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Porto DAscoli
Italian Serie D - Group F
05.03.23	Sambenedettese - Porto DAscoli	0:0 ✺
26.02.23	Porto DAscoli - Vigor Senigallia	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Porto DAscoli	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Porto DAscoli - Matese	2:0 ✺
08.02.23	Vastese - Porto DAscoli	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWTWT
- ASD Montegiorgio
Italian Serie D - Group F
05.03.23	Montegiorgio - Trastevere	0:0 ✺
26.02.23	Tolentino - Montegiorgio	1:0 ✺
19.02.23	Montegiorgio - Pineto	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Nuova Florida - Montegiorgio	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	Montegiorgio - Notaresco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
06.11.22	Montegiorgio - Porto DAscoli	0:0
06.03.22	Porto DAscoli - Montegiorgio	3:1

Porto DAscoli - Montegiorgio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide