Match Info

EUROPE: UEFA Youth League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 19 April 2024, Friday

Location: Colovray Sports Centre (Nyon)

Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports Max
Hungary	Sport 2
Italy	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Portugal	Canal 11
Serbia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Porto U19		Milan U19

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.4	3.2
	2	3.6	3.4	Watch
	2	3.56	3.66
	1.91	3.56	3.66
	1.91	3.6	3.1
	1.91	3.66	3.53
	2.01	3.6	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (1.98)	3.57 ↑ (3.34)	3.41 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto U19
47.2%

Draw
25.8%

Milan U19
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

26.9%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

27.1%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Milan U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto U19 than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan U19 than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Porto U19 - Milan U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernandes D. (G) 2. Fernandes M. 3. Ribeiro A. 4. Bras G. (C) 5. Rodrigues D. 8. Teixeira J. 6. Oliveira A. 10. Mora R. 7. Sousa G. 9. Cande A. 11. Meireles J.	1. Raveyre N. (G) 23. Magni V. 5. Simic J. 6. Nsiala C. 3. Bartesaghi D. 8. Stalmach D. 4. Malaspina M. 18. Zeroli K. (C) 17. Scotti F. 9. Camarda F. 11. Sia D.
Substitutes
18. Andrade T. 15. Campos T. 13. Ferreira B. 14. Gomes L. 12. Lacerda (G) 16. Pinto Martins G. 17. Varela C.	2. Bakoune A. 24. Bartoccioni A. (G) 30. Bonomi A. 21. Liberali M. 15. Parmiggiani P. 28. Sala E. 32. Simmelhack A.
Coaches
Capucho	Abate I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Scotti F. ⚽,
26', Nsiala C. 🟨,
35', Camarda F. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Meireles J. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Simic J. 🟨,
61', Oliveira A. 🟨,
65', 2 - 1, Bras G. ⚽, Meireles J. (A),
66', Stalmach D. ↓, Liberali M. ↑,
67', Camarda F. ↓, Simmelhack A. ↑,
71', Teixeira J. ↓, Campos T. ↑,
74', Sia D. ↓, Sala E. ↑,
75', Rodrigues D. 🟨,
80', Mora R. ↓, Pinto Martins G. ↑,
87', Bartesaghi D. ↓, Bonomi A. ↑,
88', Rodrigues D. ↓, Ferreira B. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Simmelhack A. ⚽, Zeroli K. (A),
Penalties (2 - 5)
1, Meireles J. (Pen),
1, Bonomi A. (Pen),
2, Malaspina M. (Pen),
2, Pinto Martins G. (Pen),
3, Simmelhack A. (Pen),
3, Fernandes M. (Pen),
4, Liberali M. (Pen),
4, Sousa G. (Pen),
5, Zeroli K. (Pen),

Preview

Neutral location - Colovray Sports Centre.

Recent matches Porto U19 is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Milan U19 is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Porto U19 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Porto U19 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Porto U19 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porto U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
14.04.24	Vitoria Guimarães U19 - Porto U19	4:4 ✺
06.04.24	Porto U19 - Farense U19	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Braga U19 - Porto U19	2:1 ✺
UEFA Youth League
13.03.24	Mainz U19 - Porto U19	1:4 ✺
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
09.03.24	Porto U19 - Benfica U19	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTLWL
- Milan U19
Italian Primavera 1
13.04.24	Milan U19 - Empoli U19	3:2 ✺
08.04.24	Sampdoria U19 - Milan U19	2:0 ✺
01.04.24	Juventus U19 - Milan U19	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Milan U19 - Lazio U19	2:0 ✺
UEFA Youth League
13.03.24	Milan U19 - Real Madrid U19	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Youth League
03.11.21	Milan U19 - Porto U19	0:1
19.10.21	Porto U19 - Milan U19	3:1

Porto U19 - Milan U19: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide