Match Info

Serie D - Round 1

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Kléber Andrade (Cariacica)


	Porto Vitória		Nova Iguaçu

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2
	2.9	3	2.37
	3.08	3.15	2.34
	2.97	3.14	2.31	Watch
	2.92	3.34	2.34
	2.9	3	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.31)	3.11 ↑ (3)	2.29 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto Vitória
30.3%

Draw
29.6%

Nova Iguaçu
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

30.3%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

30.1%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto Vitória has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Nova Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto Vitória than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Porto Vitória - Nova Iguaçu Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Porto Vitória (1.99) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto Vitória (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
73', 1 - 0, ⚽,
89', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Porto Vitória could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nova Iguaçu will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porto Vitória
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
05.04.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Porto Vitória	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Porto Vitória - Rio Branco AC ES	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Vitória ES - Porto Vitória	0:2 ✺
17.03.25	Porto Vitória - Vitória ES	0:1 ✺
10.03.25	Noroeste - Porto Vitória	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LWWLT
- Nova Iguaçu
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
08.03.25	Nova Iguaçu - Madureira	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.03.25	Nova Iguaçu - Vasco da Gama	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
01.03.25	Madureira - Nova Iguaçu	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.02.25	Barcelona RO - Nova Iguaçu	1:4 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
23.02.25	Nova Iguaçu - Madureira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTWW

Porto Vitória - Nova Iguaçu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide