The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Madureira 46.3%
Draw 30.3%
Nova Iguaçu 23.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.2%
29.7%
35.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
29.5%
35%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Madureira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Madureira's performance.
Nova Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nova Iguaçu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madureira than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Madureira that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nova Iguaçu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Madureira - Nova Iguaçu Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Madureira will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Mota (G) 22. Celsinho 6. Felipe C. 4. Jean 9. Jefferson Victor 3. Marcao 10. Renato Henrique 5. Rodrigo Lindoso 8. Wagninho 7. Wallace 11. Welington Zaru
1. Lucas Maticoli (G) 11. Andrey 4. Guilherme Henrique 5. Igor Guilherme 3. Igor Lemos 10. Joao Lucas 8. Jorge Pedra 2. Matheus Matias 6. Renan 9. Victor Rangel 7. Xandinho
Substitutes
13. Arthur Edeson 2. da Silva Freire M. V. 19. Flavio Souza 14. Fuba 20. Geovane Maranhao 12. Guilherme Cabo (G) 21. Hugo Cabral 18. Isaias 15. Lucas Paraiba 17. Minho 16. Pablo 1. Yan (G)
19. Antonio 17. Caio Hones 14. Daniel Zavoli 22. Joao Pedro 13. Joao Victor 21. Kauan 16. Kayke David 18. Kennyd 20. Lucas Cruz 15. Mayron 12. Pedro Zanette (G)
Coaches
Neri D.
Carlos Vitor
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Igor Lemos 🟨,
22', Marcao ↓, Arthur Edeson ↑,
34', Xandinho 🟨,
36', Victor Rangel ↓, Kennyd ↑,
45+2', Andrey 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Joao Lucas ↓, Lucas Cruz ↑,
49', Jean 🟨,
49', Arthur Edeson 🟨,
61', Wagninho 🟨,
63', Andrey ↓, Caio Hones ↑,
63', Jorge Pedra ↓, Mayron ↑,
63', Renato Henrique ↓, Hugo Cabral ↑,
64', Wallace 🟨,
64', Caio Hones 🟨,
67', Wallace 🟨,
72', Guilherme Henrique ↓, Daniel Zavoli ↑,
81', Jefferson Victor ↓, Pablo ↑,
81', Rodrigo Lindoso ↓, Fuba ↑,
83', Welington Zaru ↓, Isaias ↑,
90+5', Wagninho 🟨,
Preview
1st leg.
This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Madureira won 0.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Nova Iguaçu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Madureira won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:13 (average 0.9:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Madureira won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).