Match Info

Serie D - Group C - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Portogruaro Summaga		Luparense

	1	X	2
	5.9	3.8	1.48
	6.61	3.95	1.45	Watch
	6.73	3.94	1.43
	7	4	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.56 ↓ (7)	3.92 ↓ (4)	1.44 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portogruaro Summaga
13.9%

Draw
23.2%

Luparense
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13%

22.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6%

22.1%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portogruaro Summaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Luparense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portogruaro Summaga than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luparense than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Portogruaro Summaga - Luparense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Portogruaro has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Luparense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Luparense is a strong favorite.

We predict that Luparense will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portogruaro won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Portogruaro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Luparense	6	4	2	0	14:3	11	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portogruaro Summaga
Italian Serie D - Group C
04.01.26	Treviso - Portogruaro Summaga	4:0 ✺
21.12.25	Union Clodiense - Portogruaro Summaga	3:1 ✺
14.12.25	Portogruaro Summaga - Legnago Salus	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Calvi Noale - Portogruaro Summaga	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Portogruaro Summaga - Brian Lignano	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Luparense FC
Italian Serie D - Group C
04.01.26	Luparense - Adriese	4:0 ✺
21.12.25	Luparense - Este	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Vigasio - Luparense	5:0 ✺
07.12.25	Luparense - Conegliano	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Mestre - Luparense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
14.09.25	Luparense - Portogruaro Summaga	0:0
07.01.24	Luparense - Portogruaro Summaga	0:1
10.09.23	Portogruaro Summaga - Luparense	0:1
19.02.23	Portogruaro Summaga - Luparense	0:0
16.10.22	Luparense - Portogruaro Summaga	3:0

Portogruaro Summaga - Luparense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide