Match Info

EUROPE: Euro - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 July 2024, Friday

Location: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Solh TV
Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League, ZAP
Albania	TV Klan
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Angola	TPA
Argentina	ESPN
Armenia	1TV
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MAX 1, beIN Sports MAX 1, beIN Sports MAX 1, beIN Sports MAX 2, beIN Sports MAX 2, beIN Sports MAX 2, beIN Sports MAX 3, beIN Sports MAX 3, beIN Sports MAX 3, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Servus TV
Azerbaijan	Ictimai TV
Bangladesh	T Sports
Belgium	RTBF Auvio Direct, RTBF Tipik, VRT 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	BHT 1, Moja TV
Brazil	SporTV
Bulgaria	BNT 1, Diema Sport 3, Nova, Play Diema Xtra
Cambodia	CNC, CTN, MyTV
Canada	TSN 1, TSN 4, TVA+, TVA Sports
Chile	ESPN
China	CCTV-5, iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN
Cote-d-ivoire	RTI 3
Croatia	HRT 2, HRTi
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	RIK 1
Czech-republic	CT sport
Denmark	TV2, TV2 Play
El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO
Estonia	ETV 1, ETV+, Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	YLE Areena, YLE TV2
France	6play, beIN Connect, beIN Sports France 1, Free, M6, Molotov TV
Germany	Magenta Sport, Servus TV, ZDF
Greece	ERT 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 1
Hungary	M4 Sport
Iceland	RUV
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sportstars 3, Sportstars 4, Vision+
Iran	Aio Sport, Persiana Sports
Iraq	Almanasa
Ireland	RTE 2, RTE Player, Shabake 3
Israel	Sport 1, Sport 3
Italy	NOW TV, RAI 1, RaiPlay, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	AbemaTV, Wowow
Kazakhstan	Qazaqstan TV, Qazsport
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Lithuania	TV3, TV3 Play, TV6
Malaysia	Astro Go, Sooka, SPOTV
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mexico	Blue To Go Video Everywhere, Izzi TV, Sky HD, Sky Sport, ViX Premium
Mongolia	Central Television
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1, TVCG 1
Myanmar	Skynet
Netherlands	NOS Live, NPO 1, Sporza
New-zealand	TVNZ+
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus
North-central-america	ESPN Norte, RUSH TV Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1, MRT 1
Norway	NRK 1, NRK TV
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 1, TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV1, TVi
Romania	Pro TV, Voyo
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	Singtel TV GO, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Markiza, Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	Tving, tvN Sports
Spain	FuboTV, RTVE Play, TVE La 1
Sweden	Discovery+, SVT Play, SVT
Switzerland	M6, M6, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport Player, RTS Sport Player, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play
Thailand	AIS PLAY, PPTV Sports, True Premier Football 3
Togo	New World Sport App
Tonga	DTV App
Turkey	TRT
Uganda	NBS Sport 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Ukraine, Suspilne Sport
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Sport, Sport 24 International
Usa	Flow Sports 1, FOX Network, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Fox, FuboTV, SiriusXM FC, Sling
Uzbekistan	Zor TV
Vietnam	HTV Thể Thao, K+, SCTV Online, TV 360, VTV 2, VTV 3, VTV Go
World	Amazon Prime Video, Disney+, JioTV app, MEGOGO Futbol 1


	Portugal		France

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.9	2.4
	3.2	3	2.4
	3.35	2.98	2.45
	3.33	3.04	2.5
	3.48	3.1	2.5	Watch
	3.3	3	2.4
	3.66	2.97	2.38
	3.35	2.95	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (3.34)	2.99 ↓ (3.08)	2.44 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Euro with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX

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Current Win Probability

Portugal
28.4%

Draw
32.2%

France
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

31.2%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

30.3%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portugal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

France has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugal than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for France than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.7%	38.6%	45.7%

Portugal - France Predictions

Users Predictions: 124 users predict this event. Portugal will win (votes: 19 - 15.3%). France will win (votes: 57 - 46%). It will Tie (votes: 48 - 38.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for France: 37.2% – 54.8%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Costa D. (G) FC Porto 20. Cancelo J. Manchester City 3. Pepe 4. Dias R. Manchester City 19. Mendes N. PSG 23. Vitinha PSG 6. Palhinha J. Fulham 8. Fernandes B. Manchester United 10. Silva B. Manchester City 7. Ronaldo C. (C) Al Nassr 17. Leao R. AC Milan	16. Maignan M. (G) AC Milan 5. Kounde J. Barcelona 4. Upamecano D. Bayern Munich 17. Saliba W. Arsenal 22. Hernandez T. AC Milan 8. Tchouameni A. Real Madrid 13. Kante N. Al Ittihad 6. Camavinga E. Real Madrid 7. Griezmann A. Atl. Madrid 12. Kolo Muani R. PSG 10. Mbappe K. (C) Real Madrid
Substitutes
26. Conceicao F. FC Porto 5. Dalot D. Manchester United 21. Diogo Jota Liverpool 14. Inacio G. Sporting Lisbon 11. Joao Felix Atl. Madrid 25. Neto P. Wolves 15. Neves J. Benfica 18. Neves R. Al Hilal 16. Nunes M. Manchester City 1. Patricio R. (G) 13. Pereira D. PSG 9. Ramos G. PSG 12. Sa J. (G) Wolves 2. Semedo N. Wolves 24. Silva A. Benfica	23. Areola A. (G) West Ham 25. Barcola B. PSG 21. Clauss J. Marseille 20. Coman K. Bayern Munich 11. Dembele O. PSG 19. Fofana Y. 9. Giroud O. AC Milan 24. Konate I. Liverpool 3. Mendy F. Real Madrid 2. Pavard B. Inter 1. Samba B. (G) Lens 15. Thuram M. Inter 18. Zaire-Emery W. PSG
Coaches
Martinez R.	Deschamps D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Griezmann A. ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
74', Cancelo J. ↓, Semedo N. ↑,
74', Fernandes B. ↓, Conceicao F. ↑,
79', Palhinha J. 🟨,
84', Saliba W. 🟨,
86', Kolo Muani R. ↓, Thuram M. ↑,
90+2', Palhinha J. ↓, Neves R. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Camavinga E. ↓, Fofana Y. ↑,
106', Mbappe K. ↓, Barcola B. ↑,
106', Leao R. ↓, Joao Felix ↑,
119', Vitinha ↓, Nunes M. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 5)
1, Dembele O. (Pen),
1, Ronaldo C. (Pen),
2, Fofana Y. (Pen),
2, Silva B. (Pen),
3, Kounde J. (Pen),
3, Joao Felix (Pen),
4, Barcola B. (Pen),
4, Mendes N. (Pen),
5, Hernandez T. (Pen),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portugal won 1.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

France will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in France: Rabiot A. (Yellow Cards)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Portugal won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portugal
UEFA Euro
01.07.24	Portugal - Slovenia	1:0 penalties ✺
26.06.24	Georgia - Portugal	2:0 ✺
22.06.24	Turkey - Portugal	0:3 ✺
18.06.24	Portugal - Czech Republic	2:1 ✺
Friendly
11.06.24	Portugal - Ireland	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWW
- France
UEFA Euro
01.07.24	France - Belgium	1:0 ✺
25.06.24	France - Poland	1:1 ✺
21.06.24	Netherlands - France	0:0 ✺
17.06.24	Austria - France	0:1 ✺
Friendly
09.06.24	France - Canada	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro
23.06.21	Portugal - France	2:2
UEFA Nations League
14.11.20	Portugal - France	0:1
11.10.20	France - Portugal	0:0
UEFA Euro
10.07.16	Portugal - France	1:0 ET
Friendly
04.09.15	Portugal - France	0:1
11.10.14	France - Portugal	2:1

Portugal - France: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide