Match Info

EUROPE: Euro - Round 3

Date: 25 June 2024, Tuesday

Location: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund)

Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2
Albania	TV Klan
Andorra	beIN Sports 1, ZAP
Angola	TPA
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	ORF 1, ORF TVthek, Servus TV
Bangladesh	T Sports
Belgium	RTBF Auvio Direct
Brazil	SporTV
Bulgaria	BNT 1, BNT 3, Diema Sport 3, Diema TV
Cambodia	CNC, CTN, MyTV
Canada	TSN 1, TSN 3, TSN 4, TVA+
China	iQIYI, Migu
Colombia	Flow Sports 1
Croatia	HRTi
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Czech-republic	CT2
Denmark	DR 1, DR TV
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports, TV3, TV3 Play
Finland	YLE Areena
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports France 1, Free, Molotov TV, TF 1, TF1+
Germany	Magenta Sport
Hong-kong	Now Player
Hungary	M4 Sport
Iceland	RUV
India	Sony LIV, Sportstars 3, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Iraq	Almanasa
Japan	AbemaTV, Wowow
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Lithuania	TV3 Play, TV6
Malaysia	Astro Go, Sooka, SPOTV 2
Mexico	Blue To Go Video Everywhere, Izzi TV, Sky HD, Sky Sport
Myanmar	Skynet
Netherlands	NOS Live, Sporza
New-zealand	TVNZ+
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus
North-central-america	RUSH TV Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Pro TV, Voyo
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, MATCH! TV
Singapore	Channel 5, Singtel TV GO, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport Maximo 1, SuperSport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	FuboTV, RTVE Play, TVE La 1
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4
Switzerland	RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport Player, RTS Sport Player, SRF Info, SRF Info, SRF Play, SRF Play, TF 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, PPTV Sports, True Premier Football 3
Togo	New World Sport App
Tonga	DTV App
Ukraine	MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC RED Button, BBC Sport, Sport 24 International
Usa	FOX Network, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Fox, FuboTV, SiriusXM FC
Uzbekistan	Zor TV
Vietnam	K+, SCTV Online, TV 360, VTV Go
World	JioTV app, Star+


	France		Poland

	1	X	2
	1.25	6	12
	1.28	5.75	10
	1.29	5.8	11
	1.29	6	11
	1.3	6	11
	1.29	5.5	11
	1.27	6.11	12.7
	1.28	6.2	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.34)	5.92 ↑ (5.14)	11.09 ↑ (9.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Euro with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX

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Current Win Probability

France
75.1%

Draw
16.2%

Poland
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.9%

18.5%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

France has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Poland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.5%	5.1%	4.4%

France - Poland Predictions

Users Predictions: France will win (124 of 137 users predict this - 90.51%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.6% – 95.42%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Maignan M. (G) AC Milan 5. Kounde J. Barcelona 4. Upamecano D. Bayern Munich 17. Saliba W. Arsenal 22. Hernandez T. AC Milan 8. Tchouameni A. Real Madrid 13. Kante N. Al Ittihad 14. Rabiot A. Juventus 11. Dembele O. PSG 10. Mbappe K. (C) PSG 25. Barcola B. PSG	12. Skorupski L. (G) Bologna 5. Bednarek J. Southampton 3. Dawidowicz P. Verona 14. Kiwior J. Arsenal 19. Frankowski P. Lens 8. Moder J. Brighton 10. Zielinski P. Napoli 21. Zalewski N. AS Roma 20. Szymanski S. Fenerbahce 26. Urbanski K. Bologna 9. Lewandowski R. (C) Barcelona
Substitutes
23. Areola A. (G) West Ham 6. Camavinga E. Real Madrid 21. Clauss J. Marseille 20. Coman K. Bayern Munich 19. Fofana Y. Monaco 9. Giroud O. AC Milan 7. Griezmann A. Atl. Madrid 12. Kolo Muani R. PSG 24. Konate I. Liverpool 3. Mendy F. Real Madrid 2. Pavard B. Inter 1. Samba B. (G) Lens 15. Thuram M. Inter 18. Zaire-Emery W. PSG	18. Bereszynski B. Empoli 16. Buksa A. Antalyaspor 22. Bulka M. (G) Nice 11. Grosicki K. Pogon Szczecin 23. Piatek K. Basaksehir 6. Piotrowski J. Ludogorets 15. Puchacz T. Kaiserslautern 13. Romanczuk T. Jagiellonia 2. Salamon B. Lech Poznan 25. Skoras M. Club Brugge 24. Slisz B. Atlanta United 7. Swiderski K. Verona 1. Szczesny W. (G) Juventus 17. Szymanski D. AEK 4. Walukiewicz S. Empoli
Coaches
Deschamps D.	Probierz M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Zalewski N. 🟨,
43', Rabiot A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Probierz M. 🟨,
56', 1 - 0, Mbappe K. (Pen),
61', Rabiot A. ↓, Camavinga E. ↑,
61', Barcola B. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
61', Kante N. ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
68', Szymanski S. ↓, Swiderski K. ↑,
68', Zalewski N. ↓, Skoras M. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Lewandowski R. (Pen),
81', Tchouameni A. ↓, Fofana Y. ↑,
86', Dembele O. ↓, Kolo Muani R. ↑,
89', Dawidowicz P. 🟨,
90+2', Swiderski K. 🟨,

Preview

In this match France is certain favorite.

There are questionable in France: Coman K. (Calf Injury) Mbappe K. (Broken nose)

Last 1 head-to-head matches France won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- France
UEFA Euro
21.06.24	Netherlands - France	0:0 ✺
17.06.24	Austria - France	0:1 ✺
Friendly
09.06.24	France - Canada	0:0 ✺
05.06.24	France - Luxembourg	3:0 ✺
26.03.24	France - Chile	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWTWW
- Poland
UEFA Euro
21.06.24	Poland - Austria	1:3 ✺
16.06.24	Poland - Netherlands	1:2 ✺
Friendly
10.06.24	Poland - Turkey	2:1 ✺
07.06.24	Poland - Ukraine	3:1 ✺
UEFA Euro
26.03.24	Wales - Poland	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
04.12.22	France - Poland	3:1

France - Poland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide