Match Info

World Championship - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 July 2026, Monday

Location: AT&T Stadium (Arlington, TX)

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, Azam Sports 4, New World Sport 1, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport PSL, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 2, TV Klan
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 6, beIN Sports MENA Max 6, beIN Sports MENA Max 6
Australia	SBS On Demand
Azerbaijan	Ictimai TV
Belarus	Sport TV
Belgium	RTBF Tipik, VRT 1
Bolivia	Entel Gol 56, ENTEL TV, Red Uno, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App, Unitel
Bulgaria	BNT 1, BNT 3
Canada	fubo Sports Network, RDS App, RDS, TSN 1, TSN 3, TSN 4, TSN+
Croatia	HRT 2, HRTi
Czech-republic	Nova Action, Oneplay
Denmark	DR 1, DR TV
Dr-congo	RTNC
Ecuador	DAZN, DirecTV Sports
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	MTV 3, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, M6
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Magenta Sport, ZDF
Greece	ERT 2
Guinea	RTG
Hong-kong	Now Player
Hungary	M4 Sport
India	ZEE5
Iran	IRIB TV3, IRIB Varzesh, Persiana Sports 2, Persiana Sports
Ireland	RTE 2, RTE Player
Israel	Kan 11, Sport 1
Italy	DAZN Italia, RAI 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Klan Kosova
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	unifi playTV, Unifi TV
Maldives	Medianet
Mexico	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Canal 5, TUDN, ViX Premium
Montenegro	TVCG 1
Netherlands	NPO 1, NPO Start
New-zealand	TVNZ+
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	PTV Sports, Tapmad
Panama	Tigo Sports
Paraguay	Canal Trece, GEN
Peru	America TV GO, America TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Philippines	Cignal Play, Pilipinas Live, TapGO TV
Poland	CANAL+ Premium, TVP 1, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	RTP 1, Sport TV5
Romania	AntenaPLAY, Antena
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, RTS 2
Singapore	Singtel TV GO
Slovakia	JOJ Play
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1, Slovenia TV2
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand
South-america	DGO Latin America
South-korea	JTBC
Spain	DAZN Espana, TVE La 1
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4
Switzerland	M6, M6, Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play
Turkey	TRT 1
Turkmenistan	Turkmenistan Sport
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport
Uruguay	Antel TV, AUFTV, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 310
Usa	AFN Sports, FOX One, Fubo Sports Network, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SportsEngine Play, Telemundo, TUDN
Uzbekistan	Futbol TV, Zor TV
Venezuela	DAZN, Disney+, DSports 1, Televen
Vietnam	TV 360, VTV Go


	Portugal		Spain

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.5	1.95
	3.80	3.40	1.98
	3.8	3.6	2.05
	4.12	3.56	2.04
	3.99	3.67	1.95	Watch
	4	3.5	1.99
	3.76	3.58	2.06
	3.9	3.5	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↓ (4.18)	3.54 ↓ (3.62)	2 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portugal
24.6%

Draw
27.2%

Spain
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

26.5%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

25.8%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portugal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Spain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugal than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spain than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.1%	18.1%	63.8%

Portugal - Spain Predictions

Users Predictions: 126 users predict this event. Portugal will win (votes: 23 - 18.3%). Spain will win (votes: 81 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 17.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spain: 55.9% – 72.7%. The data is statistically significant.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Portugal (votes: 4 - 19%). Spain (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Tie (votes: 6 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Spain (2.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Portugal (2.69) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (1.64) (votes: 12 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DC - Portugal (1.85) (votes: 5 - 71.4%) .

DNB - Portugal (2.69) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (1.95) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Portugal (2.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Portugal (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 35 Selected Experts predict this event. Portugal (votes: 13 - 37.1%). Spain (votes: 16 - 45.7%). Tie (votes: 6 - 17.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Costa D. (G) FC Porto 20. Cancelo J. Al Hilal 3. Dias R. Manchester City 13. Veiga R. Villarreal 25. Mendes N. PSG 23. Vitinha PSG 15. Neves J. PSG 18. Neto P. Chelsea 8. Fernandes B. Manchester United 11. Joao Felix Al Nassr 7. Ronaldo C. (C) Al Nassr	23. Simon U. (G) Ath Bilbao 12. Porro P. Tottenham 22. Cubarsi P. Barcelona 14. Laporte A. Ath Bilbao 24. Cucurella M. Real Madrid 20. Pedri Barcelona 16. Rodri (C) Manchester City 19. Lamine Yamal Barcelona 10. Olmo D. Barcelona 15. Baena A. Atl. Madrid 21. Oyarzabal M. Real Sociedad
Substitutes
4. Araujo T. Benfica 26. Conceicao F. Juventus 5. Dalot D. Manchester United 19. Guedes G. Real Sociedad 14. Inacio G. Sporting CP 17. Leao R. AC Milan 21. Neves R. Al Hilal 6. Nunes M. Manchester City 9. Ramos G. AC Milan 12. Sa J. (G) Wolves 24. Samu Costa Mallorca 2. Semedo N. Fenerbahce 10. Silva B. Real Madrid 22. Silva R. (G) Sporting CP 16. Trincao Sporting CP	4. Garcia E. Barcelona 13. Garcia J. (G) Barcelona 9. Gavi Barcelona 3. Grimaldo A. Atl. Madrid 26. Iglesias B. Celta Vigo 5. Llorente M. Atl. Madrid 6. Merino M. Arsenal 25. Munoz V. Liverpool 11. Pino Y. Crystal Palace 2. Pubill M. Atl. Madrid 1. Raya D. (G) Arsenal 8. Ruiz F. PSG 7. Torres F. Barcelona 17. Williams N. Ath Bilbao 18. Zubimendi M. Arsenal
Coaches
Martinez R.	de la Fuente L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Mendes N. ↓, Semedo N. ↑,
71', Joao Felix ↓, Leao R. ↑,
71', Cancelo J. ↓, Dalot D. ↑,
75', Baena A. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
83', Neto P. ↓, Conceicao F. ↑,
83', Vitinha ↓, Silva B. ↑,
85', Pedri ↓, Ruiz F. ↑,
85', Olmo D. ↓, Merino M. ↑,
89', Silva B. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 1, Merino M. ⚽, Torres F. (A),
90+4', Veiga R. 🟨,
90+7', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Iglesias B. ↑,
90+8', Torres F. 🟨,

Preview

Portugal is ranked FIFA: 5. Spain is ranked FIFA: 2.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portugal won 1.

Portugal is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Spain is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Spain may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Spain is seen as the favorite.

There are questionable in Spain: Williams N. (Groin Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Portugal won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portugal
FIFA World Cup
02.07.26	Portugal - Croatia	2:1 ✺
27.06.26	Colombia - Portugal	0:0 ✺
23.06.26	Portugal - Uzbekistan	5:0 ✺
17.06.26	Portugal - D.R. Congo	1:1 ✺
Friendly
10.06.26	Portugal - Nigeria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTWTW
- Spain
FIFA World Cup
02.07.26	Spain - Austria	3:0 ✺
26.06.26	Uruguay - Spain	0:1 ✺
21.06.26	Spain - Saudi Arabia	4:0 ✺
15.06.26	Spain - Cape Verde	0:0 ✺
Friendly
08.06.26	Peru - Spain	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
08.06.25	Portugal - Spain	3:2 penalties
27.09.22	Portugal - Spain	0:1
02.06.22	Spain - Portugal	1:1
Friendly
04.06.21	Spain - Portugal	0:0
07.10.20	Portugal - Spain	0:0
FIFA World Cup
15.06.18	Portugal - Spain	3:3
UEFA Euro
27.06.12	Portugal - Spain	N/A

Portugal - Spain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide