Match Info

Date: 9 May 2021, Sunday


	Portugalete		Izarra

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.2	2.6
	2.15	3.25	3
	2.16	2.8	3.4
	2.2	3.2	3.6
	2.2	3	3.2
	2.16	3.05	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.41)	3.08 ↓ (3.13)	3.21 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portugalete
41.6%

Draw
29.8%

Izarra
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28.8%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

21.8%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portugalete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Izarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Izarra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portugalete that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Izarra than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Izarra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Portugalete - Izarra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Portugalete is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Izarra is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Portugalete could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Portugalete will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Portugalete won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Portugalete
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.05.21	Mutilvera - Portugalete	1:0 ✺
02.05.21	Haro Deportivo - Portugalete	1:0 ✺
28.04.21	Portugalete - Ejea	1:1 ✺
11.04.21	Izarra - Portugalete	3:2 ✺
07.04.21	Portugalete - Haro Deportivo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLT
- CD Izarra
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
02.05.21	Izarra - Alavés B	2:1 ✺
25.04.21	Izarra - Barakaldo	3:0 ✺
17.04.21	Leioa - Izarra	1:0 ✺
11.04.21	Izarra - Portugalete	3:2 ✺
07.04.21	Alavés B - Izarra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
11.04.21	Izarra - Portugalete	3:2

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